Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic54.5%902TrumpRepublican44.4%736OtherAll other candidates1.1%18
D+10.0
Lead
166
Total
1,656
vs nation
D+11.5
BidenDemocratic52.9%842TrumpRepublican43.3%689OtherAll other candidates3.8%60
D+9.6
Lead
153
Total
1,591
vs nation
D+5.2
ClintonDemocratic45.2%615TrumpRepublican46.9%638OtherAll other candidates7.9%108
R+1.7
Lead
23
Total
1,361
vs nation
R+3.8
ObamaDemocratic46.6%529RomneyRepublican51.4%583OtherAll other candidates1.9%22
R+4.8
Lead
54
Total
1,134
vs nation
R+8.6
ObamaDemocratic51.1%617McCainRepublican47.7%576OtherAll other candidates1.2%15
D+3.4
Lead
41
Total
1,208
vs nation
R+3.9
KerryDemocratic44.1%520BushRepublican54.6%644OtherAll other candidates1.4%16
R+10.5
Lead
124
Total
1,180
vs nation
R+8.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+10.0MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6872024 5-year
Population density
1,919 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$90,2272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+10.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+10.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
79.9%1,674 participants ÷ 2,094 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+16.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
63.7%–63.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
56.3%
62.3%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,674
2,094 ± 125
79.9%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,248
2,003 ± 97
62.3%
Audited
E/A
1,620
2,068 ± 116
78.3%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,182
2,100 ± 136
56.3%
Audited
E/A
1,378
1,892 ± 128
72.8%
Audited
E/A
1,134
1,844
61.5%
Derived
—
1,208
1,765
68.4%
Derived
—
1,180
1,686 extrapolated
70.0%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Victor, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
54.5%
902 votes · D+10.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 52.9%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
54.6%
644 votes · R+10.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 51.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
902votes
54.5% of the vote · D+10.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 842 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
736votes
44.4% of the vote · D+10.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 689 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+11.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.0 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +5.2 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+8.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+4.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +8.1 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Victor · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Ontario County, New York, the county containing Victor — Victor’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Victor, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Victor sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.0 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 10.5 points in 2004. The 2024 margin was 10.0 points.
A population of 2,687, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,227 describe the city.
In 2024, Victor, New York voted Democratic by 10.0 points (D+10.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,656 votes cast, 902 went Democratic and 736 went Republican.
When did Victor, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Victor, New York voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Victor, New York?
Victor, New York has a population of 2,687 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Victor, New York?
Median household income in Victor, New York is $90,227 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Victor, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Victor, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
