Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic47.6%229TrumpRepublican51.4%247OtherAll other candidates1.0%5
R+3.7
Lead
18
Total
481
vs nation
R+2.3
BidenDemocratic39.3%203TrumpRepublican56.2%290OtherAll other candidates4.5%23
R+16.9
Lead
87
Total
516
vs nation
R+21.3
ClintonDemocratic29.5%99TrumpRepublican51.8%174OtherAll other candidates18.8%63
R+22.3
Lead
75
Total
336
vs nation
R+24.4
ObamaDemocratic37.5%118RomneyRepublican57.5%181OtherAll other candidates5.1%16
R+20.0
Lead
63
Total
315
vs nation
R+23.9
ObamaDemocratic43.2%158McCainRepublican56.0%205OtherAll other candidates0.8%3
R+12.8
Lead
47
Total
366
vs nation
R+20.1
KerryDemocratic34.4%121BushRepublican63.9%225OtherAll other candidates1.7%6
R+29.5
Lead
104
Total
352
vs nation
R+27.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+3.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,4132024 5-year
Population density
632 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
5.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$84,8842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.1%2024 5-year
Black
12.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
26.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+29.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
20.0%482 participants ÷ 2,416 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+4.5 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-10.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
15.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%
16.0%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
482
2,416 ± 343
20.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
399
2,495 ± 299
16.0%
Audited
E/D
517
2,528 ± 319
20.5%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Kirtland AFB, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
47.6%
229 votes · R+3.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 43.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
63.9%
225 votes · R+29.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 57.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
229votes
47.6% of the vote · R+3.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 203 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
290votes
56.2% of the vote · R+16.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 247 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−2.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+3.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −20.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+27.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.5 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +24.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Kirtland AFB · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bernalillo County, New Mexico, the county containing Kirtland AFB — Kirtland AFB’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Kirtland AFB, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Kirtland AFB CDP is a census-designated place coextensive with the air force base, where a largely transient military and civilian workforce skews the residential population well below the installation's daytime footprint.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 29.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 13.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.7 points.
A population of 3,413, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,884 describe the city.
In 2024, Kirtland AFB, New Mexico voted Republican by 3.7 points (R+3.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 481 votes cast, 229 went Democratic and 247 went Republican.
How many people live in Kirtland AFB, New Mexico?
Kirtland AFB, New Mexico has a population of 3,413 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kirtland AFB, New Mexico?
Median household income in Kirtland AFB, New Mexico is $84,884 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Kirtland AFB, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kirtland AFB, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
