- Lead
- 1,436
- Total
- 11,024
- vs nation
- D+14.5
New Mexico 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,634
- Total
- 10,940
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 2,390
- Total
- 9,210
- vs nation
- D+23.9
- Lead
- 2,276
- Total
- 9,072
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 2,977
- Total
- 9,654
- vs nation
- D+23.6
- Lead
- 1,187
- Total
- 8,594
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Lead
- 758
- Total
- 6,726
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Lead
- 840
- Total
- 6,052
- vs nation
- D+5.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,6972024 5-year
- Population density
- 236 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 130 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,9802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 21.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 71.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+19.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 12, NM · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
74.2%
556 votes · D+48.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 65.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
59.6%
1,232 votes · R+19.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 56.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,682votes
61.1% of the vote · D+24.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,272 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,680votes
42.5% of the vote · D+13.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,048 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+36.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.3 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +26.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
+5.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+6.5 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +3.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With roughly 30,700 residents, this district has posted consistent Democratic margins in presidential cycles, reflecting the broader leftward tilt of urban Bernalillo County precincts that anchor its voter base.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 19.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.0 points.
A population of 30,697, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,980 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 12 and State House District 26.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.