Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic33.3%143TrumpRepublican64.6%277OtherAll other candidates2.1%9
R+31.2
Lead
134
Total
429
vs nation
R+29.8
BidenDemocratic37.9%118TrumpRepublican55.9%174OtherAll other candidates6.1%19
R+18.0
Lead
56
Total
311
vs nation
R+22.5
ClintonDemocratic30.5%60TrumpRepublican55.8%110OtherAll other candidates13.7%27
R+25.4
Lead
50
Total
197
vs nation
R+27.5
ObamaDemocratic33.5%61RomneyRepublican62.6%114OtherAll other candidates3.8%7
R+29.1
Lead
53
Total
182
vs nation
R+33.0
ObamaDemocratic44.8%107McCainRepublican53.6%128OtherAll other candidates1.7%4
R+8.8
Lead
21
Total
239
vs nation
R+16.1
KerryDemocratic38.3%87BushRepublican59.9%136OtherAll other candidates1.8%4
R+21.6
Lead
49
Total
227
vs nation
R+19.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+31.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4332024 5-year
Population density
352 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
12.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$52,4652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.2%2024 5-year
Black
10.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+31.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
14.2%432 participants ÷ 3,053 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+4.5 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-10.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
9.7%–11.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%
7.4%
8.1%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
432
3,053 ± 270
14.2%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
232
2,854 ± 256
8.1%
Audited
E/A
311
2,465 ± 282
12.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
170
2,301 ± 300
7.4%
Audited
E/D
197
2,420 ± 248
8.1%
Audited
E/D
182
2,287
8.0%
Derived
—
239
1,215
19.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Holloman AFB, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
44.8%
107 votes · R+8.8
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 38.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
64.6%
277 votes · R+31.2
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 62.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
143votes
33.3% of the vote · R+31.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 118 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
277votes
64.6% of the vote · R+31.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 174 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−16.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −19.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+33.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.1 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +29.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Holloman AFB · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Otero County, New Mexico, the county containing Holloman AFB — Holloman AFB’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Holloman AFB, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Holloman AFB's census-designated place turns over residents rapidly as active-duty personnel rotate through, compressing the civilian voter base and making registration patterns here unlike those of any surrounding Otero County precinct.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 31.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 13.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.2 points.
A population of 4,433, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,465 describe the city.
In 2024, Holloman AFB, New Mexico voted Republican by 31.2 points (R+31.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 429 votes cast, 143 went Democratic and 277 went Republican.
How many people live in Holloman AFB, New Mexico?
Holloman AFB, New Mexico has a population of 4,433 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Holloman AFB, New Mexico?
Median household income in Holloman AFB, New Mexico is $52,465 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Holloman AFB, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Holloman AFB, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
