HarrisDemocratic41.0%8,109TrumpRepublican57.4%11,344OtherAll other candidates1.6%308
R+16.4- Lead
- 3,235
- Total
- 19,761
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Jefferson City, MO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic41.7%8,020TrumpRepublican56.2%10,807OtherAll other candidates2.1%412
R+14.5- Lead
- 2,787
- Total
- 19,239
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.2%7,112TrumpRepublican57.6%11,009OtherAll other candidates5.2%998
R+20.4- Lead
- 3,897
- Total
- 19,119
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic39.6%7,757RomneyRepublican58.5%11,457OtherAll other candidates1.9%366
R+18.9- Lead
- 3,700
- Total
- 19,580
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic42.1%8,815McCainRepublican56.6%11,846OtherAll other candidates1.2%253
R+14.5- Lead
- 3,031
- Total
- 20,914
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.9%7,419BushRepublican61.4%12,028OtherAll other candidates0.8%152
R+23.5- Lead
- 4,609
- Total
- 19,599
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,4882024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,3712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cape Girardeau, MO · twin score 87.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −23.5% |
| 2008 | −14.5% |
| 2012 | −18.9% |
| 2016 | −20.4% |
| 2020 | −14.5% |
| 2024 | −16.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41.0%Harris8,109 | 57.4%Trump11,344 | 1.6% | R+16.4 | R+1.9 | R+14.9 | 19,761 | |
| R | 41.7%Biden8,020 | 56.2%Trump10,807 | 2.1% | R+14.5 | D+5.9 | R+18.9 | 19,239 | |
| R | 37.2%Clinton7,112 | 57.6%Trump11,009 | 5.2% | R+20.4 | R+1.5 | R+22.5 | 19,119 | |
| R | 39.6%Obama7,757 | 58.5%Romney11,457 | 1.9% | R+18.9 | R+4.4 | R+22.8 | 19,580 | |
| R | 42.1%Obama8,815 | 56.6%McCain11,846 | 1.2% | R+14.5 | — | R+21.8 | 20,914 | |
| R | 37.9%Kerry7,419 | 61.4%Bush12,028 | 0.8% | R+23.5 | — | R+21.1 | 19,599 |
A small capital city whose electorate skews toward state-government workers and retirees, Jefferson City has trended Republican in recent cycles while remaining more competitive than its rural surroundings in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.
A population of 42,488, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,371 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cape Girardeau and Florence.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cape Girardeau
Missouri
87.0twin score
population scale2008–2020 trajectory% Latino
Florence
Kentucky
86.5twin score
2008–2016 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Irish ancestry
Salina
Kansas
86.3twin score
population scale2008–2016 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson City, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2937000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Jefferson City, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson City, Missouri voted Republican by 16.4 points (R+16.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,761 votes cast, 8,109 went Democratic and 11,344 went Republican.
How many people live in Jefferson City, Missouri?
Jefferson City, Missouri has a population of 42,488 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson City, Missouri?
Median household income in Jefferson City, Missouri is $66,371 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Jefferson City, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Jefferson City, Missouri from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.