The Villages, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −31.6% |
| 2008 | −31.2% |
| 2012 | −39.6% |
| 2016 | −39.1% |
| 2020 | −34.0% |
| 2024 | −32.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 33.4%Harris21,990 | 65.8%Trump43,312 | 0.9% | R+32.4 | D+1.6 | R+30.9 | 65,870 | |
| R | 32.8%Biden22,314 | 66.8%Trump45,411 | 0.4% | R+34.0 | D+5.1 | R+38.4 | 68,011 | |
| R | 29.4%Clinton18,699 | 68.5%Trump43,577 | 2.2% | R+39.1 | D+0.5 | R+41.2 | 63,651 | |
| R | 29.9%Obama15,219 | 69.5%Romney35,337 | 0.6% | R+39.6 | R+8.3 | R+43.4 | 50,848 | |
| R | 34.0%Obama13,417 | 65.2%McCain25,749 | 0.8% | R+31.2 | D+0.4 | R+38.5 | 39,468 | |
| R | 33.8%Kerry9,125 | 65.4%Bush17,674 | 0.9% | R+31.6 | — | R+29.2 | 27,033 |
The Villages is a master-planned retirement enclave in central Florida where turnout among residents aged 55 and older consistently ranks among the highest of any similarly sized community in the state, making it a reliable stress-test for senior-voter modeling.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.4 points.
A population of 83,498, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,622 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prescott and Bonita Springs.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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The Villages, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1271625/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.