HarrisDemocratic35.7%1,956TrumpRepublican62.2%3,408OtherAll other candidates2.0%111
R+26.5- Lead
- 1,452
- Total
- 5,475
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Valley Center, CA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic38.1%2,209TrumpRepublican59.9%3,470OtherAll other candidates2.0%114
R+21.8- Lead
- 1,261
- Total
- 5,793
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic31.0%1,429TrumpRepublican63.3%2,920OtherAll other candidates5.7%265
R+32.3- Lead
- 1,491
- Total
- 4,614
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic29.4%1,200RomneyRepublican68.0%2,772OtherAll other candidates2.5%103
R+38.6- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 4,075
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.4%1,254McCainRepublican67.2%2,601OtherAll other candidates0.3%13
R+34.8- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 3,868
- vs nation
- R+42.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic25.4%1,001BushRepublican73.3%2,884OtherAll other candidates1.3%52
R+47.8- Lead
- 1,883
- Total
- 3,937
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,1192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $132,3612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 45.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 43.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Diego Country Estates, CA · twin score 93.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −47.8% |
| 2008 | −34.8% |
| 2012 | −38.6% |
| 2016 | −32.3% |
| 2020 | −21.8% |
| 2024 | −26.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35.7%Harris1,956 | 62.2%Trump3,408 | 2.0% | R+26.5 | R+4.8 | R+25.0 | 5,475 | |
| R | 38.1%Biden2,209 | 59.9%Trump3,470 | 2.0% | R+21.8 | D+10.5 | R+26.2 | 5,793 | |
| R | 31.0%Clinton1,429 | 63.3%Trump2,920 | 5.7% | R+32.3 | D+6.3 | R+34.4 | 4,614 | |
| R | 29.4%Obama1,200 | 68.0%Romney2,772 | 2.5% | R+38.6 | R+3.8 | R+42.4 | 4,075 | |
| R | 32.4%Obama1,254 | 67.2%McCain2,601 | 0.3% | R+34.8 | — | R+42.1 | 3,868 | |
| R | 25.4%Kerry1,001 | 73.3%Bush2,884 | 1.3% | R+47.8 | — | R+45.4 | 3,937 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.2%1,867 | 64.8%3,434 | 5,301 |
| 2020 | R | 39.4%2,237 | 60.6%3,444 | 5,681 |
Valley Center sits in the inland hills north of Escondido, where avocado and citrus groves share space with expanding residential development. Its unincorporated CDP status reflects a community navigating growth without full municipal structure.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.5 points.
A population of 11,119, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,361 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Diego Country Estates and Ramona.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
San Diego Country Estates
California
93.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Ramona
California
93.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Roanoke
Texas
91.1twin score
2008–2016 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Valley Center, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0681736/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Valley Center, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Valley Center, California voted Republican by 26.5 points (R+26.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,475 votes cast, 1,956 went Democratic and 3,408 went Republican.
How many people live in Valley Center, California?
Valley Center, California has a population of 11,119 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Valley Center, California?
Median household income in Valley Center, California is $132,361 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Valley Center, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Valley Center, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.