Stockton, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +13.3% |
| 2008 | +31.1% |
| 2012 | +36.2% |
| 2016 | +38.7% |
| 2020 | +34.0% |
| 2024 | +16.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 56.8%Harris50,785 | 40.1%Trump35,896 | 3.1% | D+16.7 | R+17.3 | D+18.1 | 89,410 | |
| D | 65.9%Biden67,967 | 31.9%Trump32,923 | 2.2% | D+34.0 | R+4.7 | D+29.5 | 103,146 | |
| D | 66.8%Clinton54,191 | 28.1%Trump22,820 | 5.0% | D+38.7 | D+2.5 | D+36.6 | 81,080 | |
| D | 66.9%Obama53,120 | 30.6%Romney24,336 | 2.5% | D+36.2 | D+5.1 | D+32.4 | 79,457 | |
| D | 65.3%Obama50,590 | 34.2%McCain26,506 | 0.5% | D+31.1 | D+17.8 | D+23.8 | 77,481 | |
| D | 56.1%Kerry39,577 | 42.8%Bush30,200 | 1.1% | D+13.3 | — | D+15.8 | 70,544 |
Stockton's electorate is majority Latino and Asian American, with historically low but rising turnout rates that have made it a target for voter-mobilization efforts. Its inland port economy and high poverty rate give economic issues outsize salience in local and state races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 17.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.
A population of 322,326, a 18% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,907 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of North Las Vegas and Moreno Valley.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Stockton, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0675000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.