HarrisDemocratic51.3%1,013,111TrumpRepublican45.6%900,459KennedyIndependent1.4%27,111
D+5.7- Lead
- 112,652
- Total
- 1,974,962
- vs nation
- D+7.2
Akashicmedia market
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
16 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic55.2%1,169,176TrumpRepublican42.2%894,340OtherAll other candidates2.6%54,947
D+13.0- Lead
- 274,836
- Total
- 2,118,463
- vs nation
- D+8.5
ClintonDemocratic51.6%872,650TrumpRepublican40.0%677,540OtherAll other candidates8.4%142,465
D+11.5- Lead
- 195,110
- Total
- 1,692,655
- vs nation
- D+9.4
ObamaDemocratic52.6%816,887RomneyRepublican44.4%689,685OtherAll other candidates2.9%45,167
D+8.2- Lead
- 127,202
- Total
- 1,551,739
- vs nation
- D+4.3
ObamaDemocratic53.6%870,063McCainRepublican44.0%714,166OtherAll other candidates2.3%38,047
D+9.6- Lead
- 155,897
- Total
- 1,622,276
- vs nation
- D+2.3
KerryDemocratic45.8%669,456BushRepublican53.0%774,946OtherAll other candidates1.2%17,562
R+7.2- Lead
- 105,490
- Total
- 1,461,964
- vs nation
- R+4.8
GoreDemocratic45.9%586,281BushRepublican49.2%627,988OtherAll other candidates4.9%61,968
R+3.3- Lead
- 41,707
- Total
- 1,276,237
- vs nation
- R+3.8
ClintonDemocratic46.4%536,918DoleRepublican43.6%504,082OtherAll other candidates10.0%115,675
D+2.8- Lead
- 32,836
- Total
- 1,156,675
- vs nation
- R+5.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,701,8022024 5-year
- Population density
- 241 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 19,488 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,3532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Los Angeles, CA · twin score 90.6
presidential history
Party record book
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
74.0%
151,538 votes · D+49.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 66.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.4%
62,876 votes · R+33.9
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 59.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,169,176votes
55.2% of the vote · D+13.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,013,111 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
900,459votes
45.6% of the vote · D+5.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 894,340 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+31.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.4 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +25.0 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+10.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +7.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+9.8
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.1 points more Republican than the rolls.
2,639,756 registered voters · 2024 · up from 2,611,258 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−644 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +73,276 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,191 |
| 2012 | −3,301 |
| 2013 | −2,262 |
| 2014 | +13,832 |
| 2015 | +16,288 |
| 2016 | +21,923 |
| 2017 | +25,282 |
| 2018 | +17,902 |
| 2019 | +16,645 |
| 2021 | +2,168 |
| 2022 | −14,326 |
| 2023 | −15,996 |
| 2024 | −1,044 |
| 2025 | −644 |
Spanning from the state capital through the San Joaquin Valley, this media market blends Sacramento's government-worker electorate with Stockton and Modesto's majority-minority, working-class communities, producing notably mixed turnout patterns across its counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 4,701,802, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,353 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Los Angeles and San Diego.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Los Angeles
California
90.6twin score
% Asianmedian income2020–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
San Diego
California
90.4twin score
% Asian2016–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Las Vegas
Nevada
85.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Asian≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/862/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Democratic by 5.7 points (D+5.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,974,962 votes cast, 1,013,111 went Democratic and 900,459 went Republican.
When did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California has a population of 4,701,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California is $93,353 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.