Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
presidential margin
2008D+9.62012D+8.22016D+11.52020D+13.02024D+5.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+5.7
2024
median income$93,353U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age38.2U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate11.8%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.6%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english32.5%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German9.0%
English8.5%
Irish7.4%
Mexican25.0%
Salvadoran0.8%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Filipino3.7%
Asian Indian2.6%
Chinese1.8%
African American†5.2%
African0.4%
Aztec0.3%
Fijian0.2%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.4%
Muslim1.3%
Mainline1.3%
Black Protestant1.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California

Akashic
Sacramento-Stockton-ModestoHarrisD+5.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CAA map of the constituent counties of Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Yolo County, CA · D+36.2Plumas County, CA · R+16.9Sierra County, CA · R+24.2San Joaquin County, CA · R+0.9Tuolumne County, CA · R+21.9Yuba County, CA · R+25.8El Dorado County, CA · R+12.0Solano County, CA · D+23.0Nevada County, CA · D+12.2Colusa County, CA · R+28.2Stanislaus County, CA · R+11.0Placer County, CA · R+8.5Calaveras County, CA · R+28.1Sutter County, CA · R+31.4Sacramento County, CA · D+19.7Amador County, CA · R+27.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic51.3%1,013,111
Donald TrumpRepublican45.6%900,459
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent3.1%61,392
D+60
R+60
16 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (16 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Amador County, CARepublicanR+27.8
Calaveras County, CARepublicanR+28.1
Colusa County, CARepublicanR+28.2
El Dorado County, CARepublicanR+12.0
Nevada County, CADemocraticD+12.2
Placer County, CARepublicanR+8.5
Plumas County, CARepublicanR+16.9
Sacramento County, CADemocraticD+19.7
San Joaquin County, CARepublicanR+0.9
Sierra County, CARepublicanR+24.2
Solano County, CADemocraticD+23.0
Stanislaus County, CARepublicanR+11.0
Sutter County, CARepublicanR+31.4
Tuolumne County, CARepublicanR+21.9
Yolo County, CADemocraticD+36.2
Yuba County, CARepublicanR+25.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
51.3%Harris1,013,111
45.6%Trump900,459
3.1%Kennedy61,392
+5.7%
1,974,962
D
55.2%Biden1,169,176
42.2%Trump894,340
2.6%Jorgensen54,947
+13.0%
2,118,463
D
51.6%Clinton872,650
40.0%Trump677,540
8.4%Johnson142,465
+11.5%
1,692,655
D
52.6%Obama816,887
44.4%Romney689,685
2.9%Johnson45,167
+8.2%
1,551,739
D
53.6%Obama870,063
44.0%McCain714,166
2.3%Nader38,047
+9.6%
1,622,276
R
45.8%Kerry669,456
53.0%Bush774,946
1.2%Badnarik17,562
−7.2%
1,461,964
R
45.9%Gore586,281
49.2%Bush627,988
4.9%Nader61,968
−3.3%
1,276,237
D
46.4%Clinton536,918
43.6%Dole504,082
10.0%Perot115,675
+2.8%
1,156,675
D
41.6%Clinton518,807
36.2%Bush451,176
22.2%Perot277,562
+5.4%
1,247,545
R
45.9%Dukakis480,664
52.7%Bush551,717
1.3%Paul13,776
−6.8%
1,046,157
R
40.9%Mondale397,867
57.8%Reagan562,866
1.3%Bergland12,953
−16.9%
973,686
R
37.6%Carter320,307
50.9%Reagan433,099
11.5%Anderson97,829
−13.3%
851,235
D
51.4%Carter364,477
45.6%Ford323,668
3.0%Macbride21,150
+5.8%
709,295
R
44.9%McGovern321,010
51.3%Nixon366,288
3.8%Schmitz27,104
−6.3%
714,402
D
47.9%Humphrey282,923
43.6%Nixon257,488
8.5%Wallace49,995
+4.3%
590,406
D
64.6%Johnson371,299
35.3%Goldwater202,594
0.1%Hass721
+29.4%
574,614
D
52.8%Kennedy270,905
46.8%Nixon240,271
0.5%Byrd2,347
+6.0%
513,523
D
51.1%Stevenson221,226
48.6%Eisenhower210,307
0.3%Andrews1,090
+2.5%
432,623
R
47.3%Stevenson191,777
52.0%Eisenhower210,774
0.7%Hallinan2,938
−4.7%
405,489
D
53.9%Truman166,276
42.3%Dewey130,486
3.8%Thurmond11,791
+11.6%
308,553
D
60.3%Roosevelt153,567
39.2%Dewey99,841
0.6%Thomas1,438
+21.1%
254,846
D
61.9%Roosevelt158,836
36.9%Willkie94,770
1.1%Thomas2,895
+25.0%
256,501
D
74.0%Roosevelt151,538
24.7%Landon50,650
1.3%Lemke2,641
+49.3%
204,829
D
66.7%Roosevelt118,065
29.7%Hoover52,507
3.6%Thomas6,315
+37.1%
176,887
R
43.9%Smith61,543
55.1%Hoover77,286
1.1%Thomas1,503
−11.2%
140,332
O
9.8%Davis11,317
45.0%Coolidge52,031
45.2%La Follette52,218
La Follette +0.2
115,566
R
29.4%Cox29,204
63.4%Harding62,876
7.2%Debs7,154
−33.9%
99,234
D
54.8%Wilson59,774
38.2%Hughes41,652
6.9%Benson7,559
+16.6%
108,985
D
51.4%Wilson42,413
0.0%Taft0
48.6%Roosevelt40,114
+51.4%
82,527
R
39.8%Bryan22,726
51.8%Taft29,602
8.3%Debs4,767
−12.0%
57,095
R
32.3%Parker17,207
59.3%Roosevelt31,646
8.4%Debs4,495
−27.1%
53,348
R
45.3%Bryan24,766
52.0%McKinley28,438
2.6%Woolley1,443
−6.7%
54,647
D
50.9%Bryan27,801
47.2%McKinley25,784
2.0%Palmer1,078
+3.7%
54,663
D
45.3%Cleveland23,915
45.2%Harrison23,863
9.5%Weaver5,041
+0.1%
52,819
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +5.7% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+5.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+0.1%
1896+3.7%
1900−6.7%
1904−27.1%
1908−12.0%
1912+51.4%
1916+16.6%
1920−33.9%
1924−35.2%
1928−11.2%
1932+37.1%
1936+49.3%
1940+25.0%
1944+21.1%
1948+11.6%
1952−4.7%
1956+2.5%
1960+6.0%
1964+29.4%
1968+4.3%
1972−6.3%
1976+5.8%
1980−13.3%
1984−16.9%
1988−6.8%
1992+5.4%
1996+2.8%
2000−3.3%
2004−7.2%
2008+9.6%
2012+8.2%
2016+11.5%
2020+13.0%
2024+5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Sacramento-Stockton-ModestoRegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 2,639,756 in 2024.659.9K1.3M2M2.6M2.6M20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
20222,611,2581,085,540781,031535,170209,517
20242,639,7561,074,906817,228529,004218,618
Source: California Secretary of State

Spanning from the state capital through the San Joaquin Valley, this media market blends Sacramento's government-worker electorate with Stockton and Modesto's majority-minority, working-class communities, producing notably mixed turnout patterns across its counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.

A population of 4,701,802, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,353 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Los Angeles and San Diego.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Los Angeles
California
90.6twin score
% Asianmedian income2020–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
San Diego
California
90.4twin score
% Asian2016–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Las Vegas
Nevada
85.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Asian≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/862/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto

counties16
Amador CountyCalaveras CountyColusa CountyEl Dorado CountyNevada CountyPlacer CountyPlumas CountySacramento CountySan Joaquin CountySierra CountySolano CountyStanislaus CountySutter CountyTuolumne CountyYolo CountyYuba County

Frequently asked questions

How did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Democratic by 5.7 points (D+5.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,974,962 votes cast, 1,013,111 went Democratic and 900,459 went Republican.
When did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California has a population of 4,701,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California is $93,353 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.