akashic
1876–2024
Stockton-Lodi, CA·California

Stockton-Lodi, CA delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Central Valley port city where Latino plurality shapes a competitive congressional map

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
797,334
2024 ACS

Stockton-Lodi, CA, California: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
797,3342024 5-year
Median household income
$92,1792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.9%2024 5-year
Black
6.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+58 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.9%
126,647128,996264,916
D
+13.8%
161,137121,098289,781
D
+14.2%
121,12488,936227,002
D
+13.7%
114,12186,071205,364
D
+10.6%
113,97491,607210,308
R
−7.4%
87,012100,978189,864
R
−1.2%
79,77681,773167,239
D
+1.5%
67,25365,131145,140
D
+3.4%
63,65558,355154,210
R
−9.8%
61,69975,309138,453
R
−20.4%
53,84681,795137,213
R
−19.8%
41,55164,718116,863
R
−1.5%
48,73350,277101,361
R
−15.8%
44,06261,646111,469
R
−5.3%
42,07347,29398,589
D
+23.6%
59,21036,54695,839
R
−6.1%
42,85548,44191,657
R
−9.3%
36,94144,49181,600
R
−12.0%
34,51044,03379,107
R
−2.1%
27,90829,13559,361
D
+5.3%
27,07424,35751,588
D
+6.2%
26,53623,40350,498
D
+47.6%
29,07810,17239,723
D
+31.1%
21,92911,14534,626
R
−23.2%
10,34316,69527,326
R
−38.3%
2,39711,05622,607
R
−28.0%
6,48712,00319,698
D
+17.4%
11,4547,86120,661
D
+58.0%
7,969013,739
R
−13.3%
3,3314,4708,564
R
−30.2%
2,2934,4987,296
R
−7.0%
2,8733,3186,379
O
+0.0%
3,5003,5007,167
D
+2.1%
3,1062,9587,029
R
−0.1%
2,8222,8295,981
R
−3.0%
2,8983,0796,119
R
−3.2%
2,4092,5684,985
R
−10.2%
1,8502,2704,120

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.4%
English
5.1%
Irish
4.7%
Italian
3.7%
American
1.8%
French
0.9%
Scottish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.0%
speak English only
Spanish27.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander9.2%
Other Indo-European5.8%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.7%
Other Christian
7.9%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Baptist
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stockton-Lodi anchors San Joaquin County, where a majority-minority electorate and persistent economic stress have made state and federal races more contested than most of coastal California.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 797,334, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $92,179 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/44700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Stockton-Lodi, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Stockton-Lodi, CA, California voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 264,916 votes cast, 126,647 went Democratic and 128,996 went Republican.
What is Stockton-Lodi, CA, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Stockton-Lodi, CA, California as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Stockton-Lodi, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Stockton-Lodi, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California has a population of 797,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Median household income in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California is $92,179 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.