Stockton-Lodi, CA, California: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 797,3342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,1792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 42.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 126,647 | 128,996 | 264,916 | ||
| D | 161,137 | 121,098 | 289,781 | ||
| D | 121,124 | 88,936 | 227,002 | ||
| D | 114,121 | 86,071 | 205,364 | ||
| D | 113,974 | 91,607 | 210,308 | ||
| R | 87,012 | 100,978 | 189,864 | ||
| R | 79,776 | 81,773 | 167,239 | ||
| D | 67,253 | 65,131 | 145,140 | ||
| D | 63,655 | 58,355 | 154,210 | ||
| R | 61,699 | 75,309 | 138,453 | ||
| R | 53,846 | 81,795 | 137,213 | ||
| R | 41,551 | 64,718 | 116,863 | ||
| R | 48,733 | 50,277 | 101,361 | ||
| R | 44,062 | 61,646 | 111,469 | ||
| R | 42,073 | 47,293 | 98,589 | ||
| D | 59,210 | 36,546 | 95,839 | ||
| R | 42,855 | 48,441 | 91,657 | ||
| R | 36,941 | 44,491 | 81,600 | ||
| R | 34,510 | 44,033 | 79,107 | ||
| R | 27,908 | 29,135 | 59,361 | ||
| D | 27,074 | 24,357 | 51,588 | ||
| D | 26,536 | 23,403 | 50,498 | ||
| D | 29,078 | 10,172 | 39,723 | ||
| D | 21,929 | 11,145 | 34,626 | ||
| R | 10,343 | 16,695 | 27,326 | ||
| R | 2,397 | 11,056 | 22,607 | ||
| R | 6,487 | 12,003 | 19,698 | ||
| D | 11,454 | 7,861 | 20,661 | ||
| D | 7,969 | 0 | 13,739 | ||
| R | 3,331 | 4,470 | 8,564 | ||
| R | 2,293 | 4,498 | 7,296 | ||
| R | 2,873 | 3,318 | 6,379 | ||
| O | 3,500 | 3,500 | 7,167 | ||
| D | 3,106 | 2,958 | 7,029 | ||
| R | 2,822 | 2,829 | 5,981 | ||
| R | 2,898 | 3,079 | 6,119 | ||
| R | 2,409 | 2,568 | 4,985 | ||
| R | 1,850 | 2,270 | 4,120 |
Demographics
Stockton-Lodi anchors San Joaquin County, where a majority-minority electorate and persistent economic stress have made state and federal races more contested than most of coastal California.
The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 797,334, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $92,179 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/44700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.