Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic51.9%1,865TrumpRepublican46.2%1,659OtherAll other candidates1.9%67
D+5.7
Lead
206
Total
3,591
vs nation
D+7.2
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic48.9%1,854TrumpRepublican49.6%1,877OtherAll other candidates1.5%57
R+0.6
Lead
23
Total
3,788
vs nation
R+5.1
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic42.9%1,354TrumpRepublican53.5%1,688OtherAll other candidates3.6%115
R+10.6
Lead
334
Total
3,157
vs nation
R+12.7
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic41.3%1,083RomneyRepublican56.2%1,474OtherAll other candidates2.6%67
R+14.9
Lead
391
Total
2,624
vs nation
R+18.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic42.9%907McCainRepublican56.9%1,203OtherAll other candidates0.2%4
R+14.0
Lead
296
Total
2,114
vs nation
R+21.3
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic34.8%721BushRepublican64.4%1,334OtherAll other candidates0.8%16
R+29.6
Lead
613
Total
2,071
vs nation
R+27.1
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+5.7MIT Election Lab
Population
4,6932024 5-year
Median household income
$89,8512024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.4%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+5.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−29.6%
2008
−14.0%
2012
−14.9%
2016
−10.6%
2020
−0.6%
2024
+5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
51.9%Harris1,865
46.2%Trump1,659
1.9%
D+5.7
D+6.3
D+7.2
3,591
R
48.9%Biden1,854
49.6%Trump1,877
1.5%
R+0.6
D+10.0
R+5.1
3,788
R
42.9%Clinton1,354
53.5%Trump1,688
3.6%
R+10.6
D+4.3
R+12.7
3,157
R
41.3%Obama1,083
56.2%Romney1,474
2.6%
R+14.9
R+0.9
R+18.8
2,624
R
42.9%Obama907
56.9%McCain1,203
0.2%
R+14.0
—
R+21.3
2,114
R
34.8%Kerry721
64.4%Bush1,334
0.8%
R+29.6
—
R+27.1
2,071
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Lake San Marcos sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.7 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 29.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 4,693, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,851 describe the city.
In 2024, Lake San Marcos, California voted Democratic by 5.7 points (D+5.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,591 votes cast, 1,865 went Democratic and 1,659 went Republican.
When did Lake San Marcos, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake San Marcos, California voted Republican was 2020.
How many people live in Lake San Marcos, California?
Lake San Marcos, California has a population of 4,693 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake San Marcos, California?
Median household income in Lake San Marcos, California is $89,851 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Lake San Marcos, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lake San Marcos, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.