Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic53.0%721TrumpRepublican44.2%601OtherAll other candidates2.9%39
D+8.8
Lead
120
Total
1,361
vs nation
D+10.3
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic55.5%660TrumpRepublican42.3%503OtherAll other candidates2.3%27
D+13.2
Lead
157
Total
1,190
vs nation
D+8.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic37.2%155TrumpRepublican56.8%237OtherAll other candidates6.0%25
R+19.7
Lead
82
Total
417
vs nation
R+21.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic45.5%86RomneyRepublican51.9%98OtherAll other candidates2.6%5
R+6.3
Lead
12
Total
189
vs nation
R+10.2
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic47.8%283McCainRepublican51.2%303OtherAll other candidates1.0%6
R+3.4
Lead
20
Total
592
vs nation
R+10.7
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic38.4%225BushRepublican57.5%337OtherAll other candidates4.1%24
R+19.1
Lead
112
Total
586
vs nation
R+16.7
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+8.8MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5852024 5-year
Median household income
$227,1402024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+13.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+19.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−19.1%
2008
−3.4%
2012
−6.3%
2016
−19.7%
2020
+13.2%
2024
+8.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
53.0%Harris721
44.2%Trump601
2.9%
D+8.8
R+4.4
D+10.3
1,361
D
55.5%Biden660
42.3%Trump503
2.3%
D+13.2
D+32.9
D+8.7
1,190
R
37.2%Clinton155
56.8%Trump237
6.0%
R+19.7
R+13.3
R+21.8
417
R
45.5%Obama86
51.9%Romney98
2.6%
R+6.3
R+3.0
R+10.2
189
R
47.8%Obama283
51.2%McCain303
1.0%
R+3.4
—
R+10.7
592
R
38.4%Kerry225
57.5%Bush337
4.1%
R+19.1
—
R+16.7
586
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Harmony Grove sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 19.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.8 points.
A population of 2,585, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $227,140 describe the city.
In 2024, Harmony Grove, California voted Democratic by 8.8 points (D+8.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,361 votes cast, 721 went Democratic and 601 went Republican.
When did Harmony Grove, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Harmony Grove, California voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Harmony Grove, California?
Harmony Grove, California has a population of 2,585 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harmony Grove, California?
Median household income in Harmony Grove, California is $227,140 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Harmony Grove, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Harmony Grove, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.