Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic28.8%664TrumpRepublican68.8%1,587OtherAll other candidates2.5%57
R+40.0
Lead
923
Total
2,308
vs nation
R+38.5
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic30.9%559TrumpRepublican66.9%1,211OtherAll other candidates2.2%39
R+36.0
Lead
652
Total
1,809
vs nation
R+40.5
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic26.4%489TrumpRepublican68.3%1,264OtherAll other candidates5.3%99
R+41.8
Lead
775
Total
1,852
vs nation
R+43.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic27.3%536RomneyRepublican70.2%1,379OtherAll other candidates2.5%50
R+42.9
Lead
843
Total
1,965
vs nation
R+46.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic31.8%652McCainRepublican67.9%1,393OtherAll other candidates0.3%7
R+36.1
Lead
741
Total
2,052
vs nation
R+43.4
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic24.7%518BushRepublican73.6%1,545OtherAll other candidates1.7%35
R+49.0
Lead
1,027
Total
2,098
vs nation
R+46.5
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+40.0MIT Election Lab
Population
4,3282024 5-year
Median household income
$130,3022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
71.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
23.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+49.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−49.0%
2008
−36.1%
2012
−42.9%
2016
−41.8%
2020
−36.0%
2024
−40.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
28.8%Harris664
68.8%Trump1,587
2.5%
R+40.0
R+3.9
R+38.5
2,308
R
30.9%Biden559
66.9%Trump1,211
2.2%
R+36.0
D+5.8
R+40.5
1,809
R
26.4%Clinton489
68.3%Trump1,264
5.3%
R+41.8
D+1.1
R+43.9
1,852
R
27.3%Obama536
70.2%Romney1,379
2.5%
R+42.9
R+6.8
R+46.8
1,965
R
31.8%Obama652
67.9%McCain1,393
0.3%
R+36.1
—
R+43.4
2,052
R
24.7%Kerry518
73.6%Bush1,545
1.7%
R+49.0
—
R+46.5
2,098
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Harbison Canyon sits in the Cuyamaca foothills east of El Cajon, remaining unincorporated within San Diego County. Its small, semi-rural population has historically leaned conservative relative to the broader county, reflecting exurban settlement patterns common to inland foothill communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.0 points.
A population of 4,328, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $130,302 describe the city.
In 2024, Harbison Canyon, California voted Republican by 40.0 points (R+40.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,308 votes cast, 664 went Democratic and 1,587 went Republican.
How many people live in Harbison Canyon, California?
Harbison Canyon, California has a population of 4,328 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harbison Canyon, California?
Median household income in Harbison Canyon, California is $130,302 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Harbison Canyon, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Harbison Canyon, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.