Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic46.5%862TrumpRepublican51.1%947OtherAll other candidates2.5%46
R+4.6
Lead
85
Total
1,855
vs nation
R+3.1
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic45.6%936TrumpRepublican52.1%1,069OtherAll other candidates2.2%46
R+6.5
Lead
133
Total
2,051
vs nation
R+10.9
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic40.8%708TrumpRepublican54.7%950OtherAll other candidates4.5%79
R+13.9
Lead
242
Total
1,737
vs nation
R+16.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic31.3%570RomneyRepublican66.2%1,206OtherAll other candidates2.5%46
R+34.9
Lead
636
Total
1,822
vs nation
R+38.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic38.2%587McCainRepublican61.5%944OtherAll other candidates0.3%5
R+23.2
Lead
357
Total
1,536
vs nation
R+30.5
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic30.4%466BushRepublican68.3%1,049OtherAll other candidates1.3%20
R+38.0
Lead
583
Total
1,535
vs nation
R+35.5
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+4.6MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7032024 5-year
Median household income
$250,0012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
52.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+38.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−38.0%
2008
−23.2%
2012
−34.9%
2016
−13.9%
2020
−6.5%
2024
−4.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.5%Harris862
51.1%Trump947
2.5%
R+4.6
D+1.9
R+3.1
1,855
R
45.6%Biden936
52.1%Trump1,069
2.2%
R+6.5
D+7.4
R+10.9
2,051
R
40.8%Clinton708
54.7%Trump950
4.5%
R+13.9
D+21.0
R+16.0
1,737
R
31.3%Obama570
66.2%Romney1,206
2.5%
R+34.9
R+11.7
R+38.8
1,822
R
38.2%Obama587
61.5%McCain944
0.3%
R+23.2
—
R+30.5
1,536
R
30.4%Kerry466
68.3%Bush1,049
1.3%
R+38.0
—
R+35.5
1,535
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Fairbanks Ranch is a gated community in the Rancho Santa Fe area where median household incomes rank among the state's highest, producing a low-density, high-wealth electorate that has historically leaned Republican in a predominantly Democratic state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.6 points.
A population of 2,703, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $250,001 describe the city.
In 2024, Fairbanks Ranch, California voted Republican by 4.6 points (R+4.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,855 votes cast, 862 went Democratic and 947 went Republican.
How many people live in Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Fairbanks Ranch, California has a population of 2,703 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Median household income in Fairbanks Ranch, California is $250,001 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Fairbanks Ranch, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.