Akashic

county

Wayne County, MO

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German13.9%21.3%12.5%

Irish10.5%11.8%9.4%

American8.0%6.8%5.3%

English7.7%11.9%9.5%

Italian2.1%3.2%4.8%

Scottish1.6%1.8%1.3%

French1.3%2.2%1.6%

Dutch1.3%——

Mexican1.2%3.2%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Wayne County	Missouri	United States
Median age	48.6	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	6.3%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	25.1%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Wayne County	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$47,226	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	25.7%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	12.7%	32.4%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Wayne County	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	0.7%	6.7%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Wayne County	Missouri	United States
Catholic	1.0%	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	24.0%	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	67.0%	51.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	6.8%	5.7%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 80.8% of 8,699 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic13.4%783TrumpRepublican86.0%5,030OliverLibertarian0.3%19

R+72.6

Lead: 4,247
Total: 5,847
vs nation: R+71.2
Turnout: 80.8%

BidenDemocratic14.4%845TrumpRepublican84.8%4,987JorgensenLibertarian0.6%36

R+70.5

Lead: 4,142
Total: 5,878
vs nation: R+74.9
Turnout: 65.6%

ClintonDemocratic16.5%948TrumpRepublican80.8%4,658JohnsonLibertarian1.9%107

R+64.4

Lead: 3,710
Total: 5,762
vs nation: R+66.5
Turnout: 60.1%

ObamaDemocratic31.7%1,813RomneyRepublican66.3%3,790GrayLibertarian1.8%103

R+34.6

Lead: 1,977
Total: 5,720
vs nation: R+38.4
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic36.4%2,243McCainRepublican61.5%3,784OtherAll other candidates2.1%127

R+25.0

Lead: 1,541
Total: 6,154
vs nation: R+32.3
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic36.3%2,250BushRepublican63.2%3,919OtherAll other candidates0.6%35

R+26.9

Lead: 1,669
Total: 6,204
vs nation: R+24.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic40.8%2,387BushRepublican57.2%3,346NaderGreen0.9%55

R+16.4

Lead: 959
Total: 5,848
vs nation: R+16.9
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic48.8%2,754DoleRepublican38.4%2,172PerotReform11.9%674

D+10.3

Lead: 582
Total: 5,649
vs nation: D+1.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+72.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,8622024 5-year
Median household income: $47,2262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 92.4%2024 5-year
Black: 0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+23.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+72.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Ralls County, MO · twin score 94.1

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 80.8%7,028 participants ÷ 8,699 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +15.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 65.4%–67.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	6,319	10,511	60.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	5,209	10,472	49.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	6,824	10,403	65.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	4,467	8,891	50.2%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	7,028	8,699	80.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 5,846 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Wayne County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -CLEARWATER FAMILY YOUTH CENTERCLEARWATER FAMILY YOUTH CENTER	269	1,459	11	1,739	15.5%	83.9%	R+68.4
Precinct -WAPPAPELLO CIVIC CENTERWAPPAPELLO CIVIC CENTER	155	979	7	1,141	13.6%	85.8%	R+72.2
Precinct -GREENVILLE CITY HALLGREENVILLE CITY HALL	70	687	4	761	9.2%	90.3%	R+81.1
Precinct -PATTERSON COMM CENTERPATTERSON COMM CENTER	95	625	2	722	13.2%	86.6%	R+73.4
Precinct -WILLIAMSVILLE CITY HALLWILLIAMSVILLE CITY HALL	52	384	4	440	11.8%	87.3%	R+75.5
Precinct -HWY MISSIONSARY CHURCHHWY MISSIONSARY CHURCH	44	289	0	333	13.2%	86.8%	R+73.6
Precinct -MILL SPRING VILLAGE HALLMILL SPRING VILLAGE HALL	47	279	2	328	14.3%	85.1%	R+70.7
Precinct -LOWNDES FIRE HOUSELOWNDES FIRE HOUSE	28	179	1	208	13.5%	86.1%	R+72.6
Precinct -TURKEY CREEK BAPTIST CHURCHTURKEY CREEK BAPTIST CHURCH	23	149	2	174	13.2%	85.6%	R+72.4

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+17.7%
1896	+5.0%
1900	+2.8%
1904	−3.3%
1908	+2.6%
1912	+12.8%
1916	+2.0%
1920	−6.8%
1924	+7.3%
1928	−13.9%
1932	+23.5%
1936	+12.9%
1940	+4.5%
1944	−0.0%
1948	+16.4%
1952	+1.6%
1956	−1.2%
1960	−17.6%
1964	+19.6%
1968	−9.8%
1972	−27.8%
1976	+20.7%
1980	−5.0%
1984	−9.6%
1988	−3.8%
1992	+16.1%
1996	+10.3%
2000	−16.4%
2004	−26.9%
2008	−25.0%
2012	−34.6%
2016	−64.4%
2020	−70.5%
2024	−72.6%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	13.4%Harris783	86.0%Trump5,030	0.3%Oliver19 +1	R+72.6	R+2.2	R+71.2	5,847
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican86.0%5,030 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic13.4%783 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%19 Jill SteinIndependent0.3%15
2020	R	14.4%Biden845	84.8%Trump4,987	0.6%Jorgensen36	R+70.5	R+6.1	R+74.9	5,878
2016	R	16.5%Clinton948	80.8%Trump4,658	1.9%Johnson107	R+64.4	R+29.8	R+66.5	5,762
2012	R	31.7%Obama1,813	66.3%Romney3,790	1.8%Gray103	R+34.6	R+9.5	R+38.4	5,720
2008	R	36.4%Obama2,243	61.5%McCain3,784	2.1%	R+25.0	D+1.9	R+32.3	6,154
2004	R	36.3%Kerry2,250	63.2%Bush3,919	0.6%	R+26.9	R+10.5	R+24.4	6,204
2000	R	40.8%Gore2,387	57.2%Bush3,346	0.9%Nader55	R+16.4	R+26.7	R+16.9	5,848
1996	D	48.8%Clinton2,754	38.4%Dole2,172	11.9%Perot674	D+10.3	R+5.8	D+1.8	5,649
1992	D	51.1%Clinton3,073	34.9%Bush2,101	13.9%Perot837	D+16.1	D+19.9	D+10.6	6,019
1988	R	48.0%Dukakis2,456	51.8%Bush2,648	0.2%	R+3.8	D+5.9	D+4.0	5,112
1984	R	45.2%Mondale2,363	54.8%Reagan2,867	0.0%	R+9.6	R+4.6	D+8.6	5,230
1980	R	46.8%Carter2,549	51.9%Reagan2,823	1.3%	R+5.0	R+25.7	D+4.7	5,444
1976	D	60.2%Carter2,987	39.6%Ford1,963	0.2%	D+20.7	D+48.5	D+18.6	4,958
1972	R	36.1%McGovern1,746	63.9%Nixon3,091	0.0%	R+27.8	R+18.0	R+4.7	4,837
1968	R	38.0%Humphrey1,714	47.8%Nixon2,156	14.2%	R+9.8	R+29.4	R+9.1	4,511
1964	D	59.8%Johnson3,005	40.2%Goldwater2,019	0.0%	D+19.6	D+37.2	R+3.0	5,024
1960	R	41.2%Kennedy2,152	58.8%Nixon3,069	0.0%	R+17.6	R+16.3	R+17.7	5,221
1956	R	49.4%Stevenson2,451	50.6%Eisenhower2,513	0.0%	R+1.2	R+2.8	D+14.2	4,964
1952	D	50.6%Stevenson2,500	49.1%Eisenhower2,423	0.3%	D+1.6	R+14.8	D+12.3	4,937
1948	D	58.2%Truman2,695	41.8%Dewey1,937	0.0%	D+16.4	D+16.4	D+11.9	4,634
1944	R	49.9%Roosevelt2,169	49.9%Dewey2,171	0.2%	R+0.05	R+4.5	R+7.5	4,349
1940	D	52.1%Roosevelt2,991	47.7%Willkie2,735	0.2%	D+4.5	R+8.4	R+5.5	5,739
1936	D	56.3%Roosevelt3,235	43.4%Landon2,494	0.3%	D+12.9	R+10.6	R+11.4	5,745
1932	D	61.4%Roosevelt3,172	37.8%Hoover1,955	0.8%	D+23.5	D+37.4	D+5.8	5,169
1928	R	42.9%Smith2,011	56.8%Hoover2,662	0.3%	R+13.9	R+21.2	D+3.6	4,685
1924	D	51.4%Davis2,283	44.1%Coolidge1,958	4.2%La Follette187	D+7.3	D+14.1	D+32.5	4,439
1920	R	45.5%Cox2,072	52.3%Harding2,380	2.2%	R+6.8	R+8.8	D+19.4	4,552
1916	D	49.4%Wilson1,594	47.3%Hughes1,528	3.3%	D+2.0	R+10.8	R+1.1	3,229
1912	D	48.3%Wilson1,432	35.5%Taft1,052	16.3%	D+12.8	D+10.2	R+6.7	2,967
1908	D	49.7%Bryan1,641	47.1%Taft1,554	3.2%	D+2.6	D+6.0	D+12.2	3,299
1904	R	47.0%Parker1,567	50.4%Roosevelt1,678	2.6%	R+3.3	R+6.2	D+16.3	3,331
1900	D	50.9%Bryan1,745	48.1%McKinley1,648	1.0%	D+2.8	R+2.2	D+10.4	3,427
1896	D	52.1%Bryan1,568	47.1%McKinley1,418	0.7%	D+5.0	R+12.7	D+11.1	3,008
1892	D	57.6%Cleveland1,393	39.9%Harrison964	2.6%	D+17.7	—	D+16.1	2,419
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	13.6%786	86.4%5,007	5,793
2018	R	19.6%910	80.4%3,733	4,643

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	14.6%840	83.0%4,783	5,761
2022	R	14.9%605	83.0%3,374	4,064
2018Class I	R	21.9%Claire McCaskill1,036	75.3%Josh Hawley3,567	4,737
2016Class III	R	30.3%Jason Kander1,706	64.5%Roy Blunt3,636	5,636
2012Class I	D	47.5%Claire McCaskill2,697	47.5%Todd Akin2,693	5,672
2010Class III	R	33.4%Robin Carnahan1,411	62.1%Roy Blunt2,625	4,226
2006Class I	R	45.5%Claire McCaskill2,394	50.9%Jim Talent2,678	5,263
2004Class III	R	34.8%Nancy Farmer2,153	64.2%Kit Bond3,974	6,192
2000Class I	R	47.2%Mel Carnahan2,761	52.0%John Ashcroft3,039	5,846
1998Class III	R	44.6%Jeremiah Nixon1,956	53.7%Kit Bond2,355	4,389
1994Class I	R	29.7%Alan Wheat1,392	66.4%John Ashcroft3,114	4,687
1992Class III	R	44.7%Geri Rothman-Serot2,585	53.8%Kit Bond3,111	5,784
1988Class I	R	34.2%Jay Nixon1,735	65.8%John C. Danforth3,340	5,078
1986Class III	R	47.8%Harriett Woods1,880	52.2%Kit Bond2,055	3,936
1982Class I	D	58.1%Harriett Woods2,750	41.9%John C. Danforth1,985	4,735
1980Class III	D	51.6%Thomas Eagleton2,743	48.3%Gene McNary2,570	5,317
1976Class I	D	51.6%Warren E. Hearnes2,514	48.3%John C. Danforth2,355	4,872
1974Class III	D	59.1%Thomas Eagleton1,917	40.8%Thomas B. Curtis1,323	3,245
1970Class I	D	52.9%Stuart Symington2,165	46.8%John C. Danforth1,917	4,093
1968Class III	R	41.5%Thomas Eagleton1,791	58.5%Thomas B. Curtis2,520	4,311
1964Class I	D	59.2%Stuart Symington2,905	40.8%Jean P. Bradshaw1,998	4,903
1962Class III	D	52.9%Edward Long2,258	47.1%Crosby Kemper2,013	4,271
1958Class I	D	60.6%Stuart Symington2,393	39.4%Hazel Palmer1,554	3,947
1956Class III	D	54.2%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,635	45.8%Herbert Douglas2,230	4,865
1952Class I	D	53.3%Stuart Symington2,594	46.6%James P. Kem2,270	4,867
1950Class III	D	55.1%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,403	44.9%Forrest C. Donnell1,959	4,362
1946Class I	D	51.5%Frank Briggs2,086	48.4%James P. Kem1,961	4,054
1944Class III	R	49.4%Roy McKittrick2,141	50.4%Forrest C. Donnell2,185	4,332
1940Class I	D	52.3%Harry S. Truman2,987	47.7%Manvel H. Davis2,722	5,710
1938Class III	D	55.6%J. Bennett Clark2,993	44.3%Henry S. Caulfield2,385	5,379
1934Class I	D	53.1%Harry S. Truman2,634	46.4%Roscoe Patterson2,299	4,959
1932Class III	D	61.3%J. Bennett Clark3,164	37.9%Henry W. Kiel1,953	5,158
1928Class I	R	49.1%Charles M. Hay2,366	50.8%Roscoe Patterson2,448	4,819
1926Class III	D	54.8%Harry B. Hawes2,134	44.6%George H. Williams1,735	3,892
1922Class I	D	50.6%James A. Reed2,139	48.7%R.R. Brewster2,057	4,227
1920Class III	R	45.8%Breckinridge Long2,077	52.5%Selden Spencer2,382	4,538
1916Class I	D	49.4%James A. Reed1,588	47.7%Walter S. Dickey1,533	3,215
1914Class III	D	49.1%William Stone1,375	46.1%Thomas Akins1,289	2,799

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2002Special · Class I	R	44.7%Jean Carnahan2,085	54.1%Jim Talent2,523	4,666
1960Special · Class III	R	48.7%Edward V. Long2,485	51.3%Lon Hocker2,613	5,098
1918Special · Class III	D	50.6%Joseph Folk1,186	48.1%Selden Spencer1,126	2,342

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	12.7%Crystal Quade729	85.5%Mike Kehoe4,906	5,735
2020	R	15.5%Nicole Galloway900	82.6%Mike Parson4,801	5,813
2016	R	25.0%Chris Koster1,425	72.0%Eric Greitens4,098	5,689
2012	D	50.8%Jay Nixon2,865	46.8%Dave Spence2,642	5,643
2008	D	53.5%Jay Nixon3,269	44.6%Kenny Hulshof2,727	6,111
2004	R	39.9%Claire McCaskill2,472	58.8%Matt Blunt3,649	6,202
2000	R	46.3%Bob Holden2,684	51.8%Jim Talent3,008	5,803
1996	D	55.1%Mel Carnahan3,114	42.8%Margaret B. Kelly2,421	5,651
1992	D	57.3%Mel Carnahan3,352	42.7%William L. Webster2,493	5,845
1988	R	39.8%Betty Hearnes2,014	60.2%John Ashcroft3,047	5,065
1984	R	46.2%Ken Rothman2,394	53.8%John Ashcroft2,787	5,181
1980	R	48.9%Joseph Teasdale2,652	51.1%Kit Bond2,769	5,424
1976	D	50.6%Joseph Teasdale2,489	49.4%Kit Bond2,428	4,918

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Wayne County, MO
Year	Total registered
2016	9,116
2018	8,578
2020	8,968
2022	8,654
2024	8,732

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−8 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +127 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $45,454 in average income, against $51,514 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+63.8 on average — 8.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Wayne County, MO itself (R+72.6).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Butler County, MO55R+63.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Butler County, MO77
Stoddard County, MO21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Wayne County, MO in Wayne County, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−42
2012	+48
2013	+80
2014	+77
2015	+8
2016	−156
2017	+144
2018	−116
2019	−180
2021	+98
2022	+18
2023	+83
2024	+73
2025	−8

Wayne County, anchored by the Ozark hills of southeastern Missouri, delivered a 72-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest in the state — reflecting a rural, predominantly white population with a long Democratic heritage that shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.6 points.

A population of 10,862, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,226 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ralls County and Ozark County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Ralls County

Missouri

94.1twin score

12-yr trend% unaffiliated2020–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Ozark County

Missouri

93.5twin score

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ English ancestry

Crawford County

Missouri

91.3twin score

2016–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Wayne County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29223/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Wayne County

Piedmont

R+67

2.9K residents

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Wayne County, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Wayne County, Missouri voted Republican by 72.6 points (R+72.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,847 votes cast, 783 went Democratic and 5,030 went Republican.

When did Wayne County, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Wayne County, Missouri?

Wayne County, Missouri has a population of 10,862 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Wayne County, Missouri?

Median household income in Wayne County, Missouri is $47,226 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Wayne County, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

Wayne County

Missouri

United States

Median age

48.6

39.2

39.1

Age 18–24

6.3%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

25.1%

17.9%

17.2%

Measure

Wayne County

Missouri

United States

Median household income

$47,226

$70,702

$84,427

Poverty rate

25.7%

12.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

12.7%

32.4%

35.6%

Measure

Wayne County

Missouri

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

0.7%

6.7%

22.3%

Measure

Wayne County

Missouri

United States

Catholic

1.0%

12.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

24.0%

24.1%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

67.0%

51.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

6.8%

5.7%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+72.6MIT Election Lab

Population

10,8622024 5-year

Median household income

$47,2262024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

92.4%2024 5-year

Black

0.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.5%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+23.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+72.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Ralls County, MO · twin score 94.1

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

6,319

10,511

60.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

5,209

10,472

49.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

6,824

10,403

65.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

4,467

8,891

50.2%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

7,028

8,699

80.8%

A/A

Wayne County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -CLEARWATER FAMILY YOUTH CENTERCLEARWATER FAMILY YOUTH CENTER

269

1,459

1,739

15.5%

83.9%

R+68.4

Precinct -WAPPAPELLO CIVIC CENTERWAPPAPELLO CIVIC CENTER

155

979

1,141

13.6%

85.8%

R+72.2

Precinct -GREENVILLE CITY HALLGREENVILLE CITY HALL

687

761

9.2%

90.3%

R+81.1

Precinct -PATTERSON COMM CENTERPATTERSON COMM CENTER

625

722

13.2%

86.6%

R+73.4

Precinct -WILLIAMSVILLE CITY HALLWILLIAMSVILLE CITY HALL

384

440

11.8%

87.3%

R+75.5

Precinct -HWY MISSIONSARY CHURCHHWY MISSIONSARY CHURCH

289

333

13.2%

86.8%

R+73.6

Precinct -MILL SPRING VILLAGE HALLMILL SPRING VILLAGE HALL

279

328

14.3%

85.1%

R+70.7

Precinct -LOWNDES FIRE HOUSELOWNDES FIRE HOUSE

179

208

13.5%

86.1%

R+72.6

Precinct -TURKEY CREEK BAPTIST CHURCHTURKEY CREEK BAPTIST CHURCH

149

174

13.2%

85.6%

R+72.4

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+17.7%
1896	+5.0%
1900	+2.8%
1904	−3.3%
1908	+2.6%
1912	+12.8%
1916	+2.0%
1920	−6.8%
1924	+7.3%
1928	−13.9%
1932	+23.5%
1936	+12.9%
1940	+4.5%
1944	−0.0%
1948	+16.4%
1952	+1.6%
1956	−1.2%
1960	−17.6%
1964	+19.6%
1968	−9.8%
1972	−27.8%
1976	+20.7%
1980	−5.0%
1984	−9.6%
1988	−3.8%
1992	+16.1%
1996	+10.3%
2000	−16.4%
2004	−26.9%
2008	−25.0%
2012	−34.6%
2016	−64.4%
2020	−70.5%
2024	−72.6%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

13.4%Harris783

86.0%Trump5,030

0.3%Oliver19 +1

R+72.6

R+2.2

R+71.2

5,847

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican86.0%5,030
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic13.4%783
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%19
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%15

2020

14.4%Biden845

84.8%Trump4,987

0.6%Jorgensen36

R+70.5

R+6.1

R+74.9

5,878

2016

16.5%Clinton948

80.8%Trump4,658

1.9%Johnson107

R+64.4

R+29.8

R+66.5

5,762

2012

31.7%Obama1,813

66.3%Romney3,790

1.8%Gray103

R+34.6

R+9.5

R+38.4

5,720

2008

36.4%Obama2,243

61.5%McCain3,784

2.1%

R+25.0

D+1.9

R+32.3

6,154

2004

36.3%Kerry2,250

63.2%Bush3,919

0.6%

R+26.9

R+10.5

R+24.4

6,204

2000

40.8%Gore2,387

57.2%Bush3,346

0.9%Nader55

R+16.4

R+26.7

R+16.9

5,848

1996

48.8%Clinton2,754

38.4%Dole2,172

11.9%Perot674

D+10.3

R+5.8

D+1.8

5,649

1992

51.1%Clinton3,073

34.9%Bush2,101

13.9%Perot837

D+16.1

D+19.9

D+10.6

6,019

1988

48.0%Dukakis2,456

51.8%Bush2,648

0.2%

R+3.8

D+5.9

D+4.0

5,112

1984

45.2%Mondale2,363

54.8%Reagan2,867

0.0%

R+9.6

R+4.6

D+8.6

5,230

1980

46.8%Carter2,549

51.9%Reagan2,823

1.3%

R+5.0

R+25.7

D+4.7

5,444

1976

60.2%Carter2,987

39.6%Ford1,963

0.2%

D+20.7

D+48.5

D+18.6

4,958

1972

36.1%McGovern1,746

63.9%Nixon3,091

0.0%

R+27.8

R+18.0

R+4.7

4,837

1968

38.0%Humphrey1,714

47.8%Nixon2,156

14.2%

R+9.8

R+29.4

R+9.1

4,511

1964

59.8%Johnson3,005

40.2%Goldwater2,019

0.0%

D+19.6

D+37.2

R+3.0

5,024

1960

41.2%Kennedy2,152

58.8%Nixon3,069

0.0%

R+17.6

R+16.3

R+17.7

5,221

1956

49.4%Stevenson2,451

50.6%Eisenhower2,513

0.0%

R+1.2

R+2.8

D+14.2

4,964

1952

50.6%Stevenson2,500

49.1%Eisenhower2,423

0.3%

D+1.6

R+14.8

D+12.3

4,937

1948

58.2%Truman2,695

41.8%Dewey1,937

0.0%

D+16.4

D+11.9

4,634

1944

49.9%Roosevelt2,169

49.9%Dewey2,171

0.2%

R+0.05

R+4.5

R+7.5

4,349

1940

52.1%Roosevelt2,991

47.7%Willkie2,735

0.2%

D+4.5

R+8.4

R+5.5

5,739

1936

56.3%Roosevelt3,235

43.4%Landon2,494

0.3%

D+12.9

R+10.6

R+11.4

5,745

1932

61.4%Roosevelt3,172

37.8%Hoover1,955

0.8%

D+23.5

D+37.4

D+5.8

5,169

1928

42.9%Smith2,011

56.8%Hoover2,662

0.3%

R+13.9

R+21.2

D+3.6

4,685

1924

51.4%Davis2,283

44.1%Coolidge1,958

4.2%La Follette187

D+7.3

D+14.1

D+32.5

4,439

1920

45.5%Cox2,072

52.3%Harding2,380

2.2%

R+6.8

R+8.8

D+19.4

4,552

1916

49.4%Wilson1,594

47.3%Hughes1,528

3.3%

D+2.0

R+10.8

R+1.1

3,229

1912

48.3%Wilson1,432

35.5%Taft1,052

16.3%

D+12.8

D+10.2

R+6.7

2,967

1908

49.7%Bryan1,641

47.1%Taft1,554

3.2%

D+2.6

D+6.0

D+12.2

3,299

1904

47.0%Parker1,567

50.4%Roosevelt1,678

2.6%

R+3.3

R+6.2

D+16.3

3,331

1900

50.9%Bryan1,745

48.1%McKinley1,648

1.0%

D+2.8

R+2.2

D+10.4

3,427

1896

52.1%Bryan1,568

47.1%McKinley1,418

0.7%

D+5.0

R+12.7

D+11.1

3,008

1892

57.6%Cleveland1,393

39.9%Harrison964

2.6%

D+17.7

—

D+16.1

2,419

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

13.6%786

86.4%5,007

5,793

2018

19.6%910

80.4%3,733

4,643

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

14.6%840

83.0%4,783

5,761

2022

14.9%605

83.0%3,374

4,064

2018Class I

21.9%Claire McCaskill1,036

75.3%Josh Hawley3,567

4,737

2016Class III

30.3%Jason Kander1,706

64.5%Roy Blunt3,636

5,636

2012Class I

47.5%Claire McCaskill2,697

47.5%Todd Akin2,693

5,672

2010Class III

33.4%Robin Carnahan1,411

62.1%Roy Blunt2,625

4,226

2006Class I

45.5%Claire McCaskill2,394

50.9%Jim Talent2,678

5,263

2004Class III

34.8%Nancy Farmer2,153

64.2%Kit Bond3,974

6,192

2000Class I

47.2%Mel Carnahan2,761

52.0%John Ashcroft3,039

5,846

1998Class III

44.6%Jeremiah Nixon1,956

53.7%Kit Bond2,355

4,389

1994Class I

29.7%Alan Wheat1,392

66.4%John Ashcroft3,114

4,687

1992Class III

44.7%Geri Rothman-Serot2,585

53.8%Kit Bond3,111

5,784

1988Class I

34.2%Jay Nixon1,735

65.8%John C. Danforth3,340

5,078

1986Class III

47.8%Harriett Woods1,880

52.2%Kit Bond2,055

3,936

1982Class I

58.1%Harriett Woods2,750

41.9%John C. Danforth1,985

4,735

1980Class III

51.6%Thomas Eagleton2,743

48.3%Gene McNary2,570

5,317

1976Class I

51.6%Warren E. Hearnes2,514

48.3%John C. Danforth2,355

4,872

1974Class III

59.1%Thomas Eagleton1,917

40.8%Thomas B. Curtis1,323

3,245

1970Class I

52.9%Stuart Symington2,165

46.8%John C. Danforth1,917

4,093

1968Class III

41.5%Thomas Eagleton1,791

58.5%Thomas B. Curtis2,520

4,311

1964Class I

59.2%Stuart Symington2,905

40.8%Jean P. Bradshaw1,998

4,903

1962Class III

52.9%Edward Long2,258

47.1%Crosby Kemper2,013

4,271

1958Class I

60.6%Stuart Symington2,393

39.4%Hazel Palmer1,554

3,947

1956Class III

54.2%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,635

45.8%Herbert Douglas2,230

4,865

1952Class I

53.3%Stuart Symington2,594

46.6%James P. Kem2,270

4,867

1950Class III

55.1%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,403

44.9%Forrest C. Donnell1,959

4,362

1946Class I

51.5%Frank Briggs2,086

48.4%James P. Kem1,961

4,054

1944Class III

49.4%Roy McKittrick2,141

50.4%Forrest C. Donnell2,185

4,332

1940Class I

52.3%Harry S. Truman2,987

47.7%Manvel H. Davis2,722

5,710

1938Class III

55.6%J. Bennett Clark2,993

44.3%Henry S. Caulfield2,385

5,379

1934Class I

53.1%Harry S. Truman2,634

46.4%Roscoe Patterson2,299

4,959

1932Class III

61.3%J. Bennett Clark3,164

37.9%Henry W. Kiel1,953

5,158

1928Class I

49.1%Charles M. Hay2,366

50.8%Roscoe Patterson2,448

4,819

1926Class III

54.8%Harry B. Hawes2,134

44.6%George H. Williams1,735

3,892

1922Class I

50.6%James A. Reed2,139

48.7%R.R. Brewster2,057

4,227

1920Class III

45.8%Breckinridge Long2,077

52.5%Selden Spencer2,382

4,538

1916Class I

49.4%James A. Reed1,588

47.7%Walter S. Dickey1,533

3,215

1914Class III

49.1%William Stone1,375

46.1%Thomas Akins1,289

2,799

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2002Special · Class I

44.7%Jean Carnahan2,085

54.1%Jim Talent2,523

4,666

1960Special · Class III

48.7%Edward V. Long2,485

51.3%Lon Hocker2,613

5,098

1918Special · Class III

50.6%Joseph Folk1,186

48.1%Selden Spencer1,126

2,342

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

12.7%Crystal Quade729

85.5%Mike Kehoe4,906

5,735

2020

15.5%Nicole Galloway900

82.6%Mike Parson4,801

5,813

2016

25.0%Chris Koster1,425

72.0%Eric Greitens4,098

5,689

2012

50.8%Jay Nixon2,865

46.8%Dave Spence2,642

5,643

2008

53.5%Jay Nixon3,269

44.6%Kenny Hulshof2,727

6,111

2004

39.9%Claire McCaskill2,472

58.8%Matt Blunt3,649

6,202

2000

46.3%Bob Holden2,684

51.8%Jim Talent3,008

5,803

1996

55.1%Mel Carnahan3,114

42.8%Margaret B. Kelly2,421

5,651

1992

57.3%Mel Carnahan3,352

42.7%William L. Webster2,493

5,845

1988

39.8%Betty Hearnes2,014

60.2%John Ashcroft3,047

5,065

1984

46.2%Ken Rothman2,394

53.8%John Ashcroft2,787

5,181

1980

48.9%Joseph Teasdale2,652

51.1%Kit Bond2,769

5,424

1976

50.6%Joseph Teasdale2,489

49.4%Kit Bond2,428

4,918

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Wayne County, MO
Year	Total registered
2016	9,116
2018	8,578
2020	8,968
2022	8,654
2024	8,732

How did Wayne County, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Wayne County, Missouri voted Republican by 72.6 points (R+72.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,847 votes cast, 783 went Democratic and 5,030 went Republican.

When did Wayne County, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Wayne County, Missouri?

Wayne County, Missouri has a population of 10,862 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Wayne County, Missouri?

Median household income in Wayne County, Missouri is $47,226 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Wayne County, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.