| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 1,044 | 5,464 | 6,574 | |
| 2020 | R | 1,238 | 5,633 | 6,955 | |
| 2016 | R | 1,045 | 4,816 | 6,042 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,520 | 3,995 | 5,592 | |
| 2008 | R | 2,036 | 3,503 | 5,649 | |
| 2004 | R | 2,705 | 3,755 | 6,513 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,258 | 2,969 | 5,307 | |
| 1996 | D | 2,195 | 1,812 | 4,503 | |
| 1992 | D | 2,400 | 2,084 | 5,057 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,198 | 2,294 | 4,508 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,223 | 2,713 | 4,959 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,362 | 2,564 | 4,980 | |
| 1976 | D | 2,402 | 1,838 | 4,283 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,529 | 2,392 | 3,955 | |
| 1968 | R | 1,825 | 1,946 | 4,249 | |
| 1964 | D | 2,703 | 1,745 | 4,455 | |
| 1960 | R | 2,510 | 3,030 | 5,540 | |
| 1956 | R | 2,495 | 2,932 | 5,438 | |
| 1952 | R | 2,597 | 2,696 | 5,302 | |
| 1948 | D | 2,372 | 2,117 | 4,521 | |
| 1944 | R | 2,408 | 2,715 | 5,135 | |
| 1940 | D | 3,178 | 3,055 | 6,252 | |
| 1936 | D | 3,175 | 2,944 | 6,128 | |
| 1932 | D | 3,701 | 2,766 | 6,494 | |
| 1928 | R | 2,217 | 3,277 | 5,499 | |
| 1924 | R | 2,445 | 2,547 | 5,078 | |
| 1920 | R | 2,558 | 2,849 | 5,433 | |
| 1916 | R | 1,910 | 1,928 | 3,882 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,648 | 1,280 | 3,608 | |
| 1908 | R | 1,878 | 2,098 | 4,032 | |
| 1904 | R | 1,752 | 2,014 | 3,820 | |
| 1900 | R | 1,946 | 2,052 | 4,017 | |
| 1896 | R | 1,820 | 1,966 | 3,826 | |
| 1892 | D | 1,724 | 1,445 | 3,222 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Lawrence County, tucked into Kentucky's eastern coalfield corner along the Tug Fork, recorded a 67-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the steep partisan shift that has reshaped Appalachian Kentucky over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Lawrence County peaked at twenty-two points in 1964. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.
The economic context is the key. Lawrence County's median household income of $46,772 sits well below state and national norms, and 22% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Monroe County and Mercer County.