HarrisDemocratic15.5%7,238TrumpRepublican83.4%38,976OtherAll other candidates1.1%498
R+67.9- Lead
- 31,738
- Total
- 46,712
- vs nation
- R+66.5
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate senate district
Kentucky 31st State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic17.8%8,827TrumpRepublican81.1%40,109OtherAll other candidates1.1%537
R+63.2- Lead
- 31,282
- Total
- 49,473
- vs nation
- R+67.7
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic16.3%7,678TrumpRepublican80.9%38,109OtherAll other candidates2.8%1,300
R+64.6- Lead
- 30,431
- Total
- 47,087
- vs nation
- R+66.7
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ObamaDemocratic23.9%10,649RomneyRepublican74.1%32,986OtherAll other candidates1.9%851
R+50.2- Lead
- 22,337
- Total
- 44,486
- vs nation
- R+54.1
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ObamaDemocratic37.9%16,311McCainRepublican60.1%25,832OtherAll other candidates2.0%873
R+22.1- Lead
- 9,521
- Total
- 43,016
- vs nation
- R+29.4
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
KerryDemocratic47.0%23,563BushRepublican52.3%26,173OtherAll other candidates0.7%347
R+5.2- Lead
- 2,610
- Total
- 50,083
- vs nation
- R+2.8
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
GoreDemocratic49.4%22,359BushRepublican49.2%22,251OtherAll other candidates1.4%649
D+0.2- Lead
- 108
- Total
- 45,259
- vs nation
- R+0.3
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic54.8%22,774DoleRepublican34.4%14,267OtherAll other candidates10.8%4,481
D+20.5- Lead
- 8,507
- Total
- 41,522
- vs nation
- D+12.0
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 115,3932024 5-year
- Population density
- 60 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,928 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $44,3762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 30, KY · twin score 98.2
current representation
Current officeholders
RPhillip WheelerState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+67.9, this district ranks among the most heavily one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep rural realignment that has reshaped eastern or western Kentucky's political landscape over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.9 points.
A population of 115,393, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,376 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 30 and State Senate District 6.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 30
Kentucky
98.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
State Senate District 6
West Virginia
96.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
State Senate District 10
West Virginia
96.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/21031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Kentucky 31st State Senate District
counties it covers5
Frequently asked questions
How did Kentucky 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 31st State Senate District voted Republican by 67.9 points (R+67.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,712 votes cast, 7,238 went Democratic and 38,976 went Republican.
When did Kentucky 31st State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky 31st State Senate District voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Kentucky 31st State Senate District?
Kentucky 31st State Senate District has a population of 115,393 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in Kentucky 31st State Senate District is $44,376 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Kentucky 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky 31st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.