Kentucky 31st State Senate District, Kentucky: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+68%. Republican peak: R+68 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 113,4072024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,1652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 31, KYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,234 | 38,954 | 46,707 | ||
| R | 8,822 | 40,087 | 49,440 | ||
| R | 7,674 | 38,088 | 47,060 | ||
| R | 10,643 | 32,967 | 44,461 | ||
| R | 16,302 | 25,818 | 42,992 | ||
| R | 23,550 | 26,158 | 50,055 | ||
| D | 22,347 | 22,238 | 45,234 | ||
| D | 22,762 | 14,259 | 41,500 | ||
| D | 26,923 | 16,306 | 48,168 | ||
| D | 25,439 | 20,015 | 45,662 | ||
| D | 24,260 | 23,633 | 48,148 | ||
| D | 23,605 | 21,485 | 45,677 | ||
| D | 23,647 | 18,472 | 42,461 | ||
| R | 15,034 | 23,100 | 38,429 | ||
| D | 17,768 | 17,352 | 38,319 | ||
| D | 23,606 | 13,781 | 37,504 | ||
| R | 21,012 | 21,889 | 42,901 | ||
| R | 19,146 | 24,360 | 43,577 | ||
| D | 21,252 | 20,933 | 42,234 | ||
| D | 19,171 | 16,573 | 35,949 | ||
| R | 16,672 | 18,021 | 34,764 | ||
| D | 21,210 | 19,981 | 41,237 | ||
| D | 20,011 | 17,967 | 38,018 | ||
| D | 22,430 | 17,699 | 40,266 | ||
| R | 13,731 | 20,267 | 34,034 | ||
| R | 11,821 | 14,802 | 28,016 | ||
| R | 11,979 | 17,709 | 29,890 | ||
| R | 8,004 | 10,259 | 18,477 | ||
| D | 6,524 | 6,103 | 15,936 | ||
| R | 6,485 | 9,556 | 16,291 | ||
| R | 5,901 | 7,915 | 13,998 | ||
| R | 6,559 | 7,671 | 14,315 | ||
| R | 6,212 | 7,204 | 13,543 | ||
| D | 5,347 | 5,043 | 10,619 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
17.6%
English
14.5%
Irish
11.9%
German
6.4%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$44,165
State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 31$44,165
Kentucky$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
24.6%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1831.8%
Working age (18–64)23.0%
Seniors (65+)19.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.5%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Spanish0.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+66.3, this district ranks among the most heavily one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep rural realignment that has reshaped eastern or western Kentucky's political landscape over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Kentucky 31st State Senate District peaked at twenty-six points in 1964. By 2004 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $44,165 sits well below state and national norms, and 25% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/21031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 31, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Kentucky voted Republican by 67.9 points (R+68), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,707 votes cast, 7,234 went Democratic and 38,954 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Kentucky as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Kentucky voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Kentucky?
State Senate District 31, Kentucky has a population of 113,407 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Kentucky?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Kentucky is $44,165 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.