- Lead
- 4,478
- Total
- 11,234
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Turnout
- 78.6%
Dickinson County, IA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.6% of 14,406 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,777
- Total
- 11,244
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Turnout
- 82.2%
- Lead
- 3,697
- Total
- 10,457
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Turnout
- 76.6%
- Lead
- 1,817
- Total
- 10,159
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 537
- Total
- 9,906
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,197
- Total
- 9,553
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 565
- Total
- 8,121
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 7,646
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,9902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,4322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clay County, IA · twin score 88.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.6%11,319 participants ÷ 14,406 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.8%–61.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,457 | 13,645 | 76.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,886 | 13,656 | 65.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,306 | 13,757 | 82.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,326 | 14,011 | 59.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,319 | 14,406 | 78.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 11,192 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 09Precinct 09 | 537 | 1,284 | 27 | 1,848 | 29.1% | 69.5% | R+40.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 517 | 1,200 | 12 | 1,729 | 29.9% | 69.4% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 434 | 888 | 20 | 1,342 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 02Precinct 02 | 405 | 840 | 16 | 1,261 | 32.1% | 66.6% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 01Precinct 01 | 249 | 861 | 10 | 1,120 | 22.2% | 76.9% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 05Precinct 05 | 327 | 648 | 9 | 984 | 33.2% | 65.9% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 03Precinct 03 | 293 | 611 | 7 | 911 | 32.2% | 67.1% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 06Precinct 06 | 180 | 390 | 2 | 572 | 31.5% | 68.2% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 136 | 393 | 5 | 534 | 25.5% | 73.6% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 07Precinct 07 | 134 | 366 | 8 | 508 | 26.4% | 72.0% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 04Precinct 04 | 69 | 192 | 2 | 263 | 26.2% | 73.0% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 08Precinct 08 | 16 | 102 | 2 | 120 | 13.3% | 85.0% | R+71.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −27.4% |
| 1896 | −36.6% |
| 1900 | −49.1% |
| 1904 | −59.6% |
| 1908 | −36.4% |
| 1912 | +2.4% |
| 1916 | −16.3% |
| 1920 | −61.9% |
| 1924 | −56.5% |
| 1928 | −41.6% |
| 1932 | +9.1% |
| 1936 | +18.6% |
| 1940 | +4.3% |
| 1944 | +7.3% |
| 1948 | +0.4% |
| 1952 | −42.8% |
| 1956 | −18.6% |
| 1960 | −14.0% |
| 1964 | +17.6% |
| 1968 | −19.3% |
| 1972 | −21.4% |
| 1976 | −10.3% |
| 1980 | −18.9% |
| 1984 | −14.5% |
| 1988 | −4.7% |
| 1992 | −1.1% |
| 1996 | +5.7% |
| 2000 | −7.0% |
| 2004 | −12.5% |
| 2008 | −5.4% |
| 2012 | −17.9% |
| 2016 | −35.4% |
| 2020 | −33.6% |
| 2024 | −39.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 13,635 | 3,371 | 4,606 | 5,657 | 1 |
| 2010 | 13,573 | 3,139 | 4,964 | 5,467 | 3 |
| 2012 | 13,414 | 2,860 | 5,490 | 5,054 | 10 |
| 2014 | 12,717 | 2,537 | 5,340 | 4,815 | 25 |
| 2016 | 13,368 | 2,613 | 5,735 | 4,972 | 48 |
| 2018 | 13,704 | 2,609 | 6,115 | 4,899 | 81 |
| 2020 | 14,480 | 3,060 | 6,781 | 4,541 | 98 |
| 2022 | 14,654 | 2,841 | 7,077 | 4,616 | 120 |
| 2024 | 14,905 | 2,634 | 7,398 | 4,749 | 124 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+108 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,518 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $88,429 in average income, against $107,179 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.4 on average — 12 points more Republican-leaning than Dickinson County, IA itself (R+39.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clay County, IA42R+43.1
- Emmet County, IA40R+43.9
- O'Brien County, IA26R+60.7
- Sioux County, IA21R+70.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clay County, IA70
- Emmet County, IA28
- Polk County, IA27
- Minnehaha County, SD23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +246 |
| 2012 | +68 |
| 2013 | +15 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | +167 |
| 2016 | +123 |
| 2017 | +98 |
| 2018 | +15 |
| 2019 | +163 |
| 2021 | +154 |
| 2022 | +221 |
| 2023 | +54 |
| 2024 | +78 |
| 2025 | +108 |
Home to the Iowa Great Lakes recreation corridor, Dickinson County draws seasonal tourism that inflates its summer population well above its 16,000 residents, yet its year-round electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.9 points.
A population of 17,990, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,432 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Murray County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dickinson County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.