- Lead
- 2,251
- Total
- 11,972
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- 56.4%
McDonough County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.4% of 21,612 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,035
- Total
- 12,327
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- 50.4%
- Lead
- 1,507
- Total
- 13,144
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Turnout
- 51.3%
- Lead
- 180
- Total
- 12,454
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 728
- Total
- 13,042
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 537
- Total
- 14,929
- vs nation
- R+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 385
- Total
- 13,012
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 583
- Total
- 12,035
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,9202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,7952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.1 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Athens County, OH · twin score 87.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.4%12,181 participants ÷ 21,612 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +7.5 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -14.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.5%–48.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,144 | 25,623 | 51.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,275 | 24,993 | 41.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,375 | 24,576 | 50.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,568 | 22,310 | 42.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,181 | 21,612 | 56.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 12,101 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 3-23MACOMB CITY 3-23 | 591 | 414 | 28 | 1,033 | 57.2% | 40.1% | D+17.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 2-21MACOMB CITY 2-21 | 476 | 358 | 23 | 857 | 55.5% | 41.8% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -COLCHESTER-9COLCHESTER-9 | 182 | 610 | 32 | 824 | 22.1% | 74.0% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 8-31MACOMB CITY 8-31 | 340 | 384 | 24 | 748 | 45.5% | 51.3% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 1-19MACOMB CITY 1-19 | 418 | 258 | 33 | 709 | 59.0% | 36.4% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -BUSHNELL 2-6BUSHNELL 2-6 | 206 | 439 | 16 | 661 | 31.2% | 66.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -BUSHNELL 1-5BUSHNELL 1-5 | 131 | 463 | 19 | 613 | 21.4% | 75.5% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 6-27MACOMB CITY 6-27 | 338 | 232 | 30 | 600 | 56.3% | 38.7% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 4-24MACOMB CITY 4-24 | 278 | 290 | 22 | 590 | 47.1% | 49.2% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 7-29MACOMB CITY 7-29 | 239 | 275 | 18 | 532 | 44.9% | 51.7% | R+6.8 |
| Precinct -CHALMERS-7/8CHALMERS-7/8 | 142 | 283 | 7 | 432 | 32.9% | 65.5% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -BLANDINSVILLE-3/4BLANDINSVILLE-3/4 | 68 | 333 | 23 | 424 | 16.0% | 78.5% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 5-25MACOMB CITY 5-25 | 166 | 169 | 10 | 345 | 48.1% | 49.0% | R+0.9 |
| Precinct -EMMET-11/12EMMET-11/12 | 109 | 218 | 9 | 336 | 32.4% | 64.9% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -INDUSTRY-15INDUSTRY-15 | 83 | 240 | 12 | 335 | 24.8% | 71.6% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -SCOTLAND-40SCOTLAND-40 | 56 | 200 | 11 | 267 | 21.0% | 74.9% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -WALNUT GROVE-44/45WALNUT GROVE-44/45 | 68 | 194 | 4 | 266 | 25.6% | 72.9% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -SCIOTA-38/39SCIOTA-38/39 | 62 | 190 | 9 | 261 | 23.8% | 72.8% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 7-28MACOMB CITY 7-28 | 117 | 123 | 10 | 250 | 46.8% | 49.2% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -MACOMB TOWNSHIP-32/33MACOMB TOWNSHIP-32/33 | 53 | 173 | 9 | 235 | 22.6% | 73.6% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -EMMET-13EMMET-13 | 118 | 91 | 8 | 217 | 54.4% | 41.9% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIE CITY-37PRAIRIE CITY-37 | 42 | 169 | 3 | 214 | 19.6% | 79.0% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -NEW SALEM-36NEW SALEM-36 | 53 | 125 | 9 | 187 | 28.3% | 66.8% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -TENNESSEE-43TENNESSEE-43 | 46 | 124 | 9 | 179 | 25.7% | 69.3% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -LAMOINE-16/17LAMOINE-16/17 | 31 | 117 | 5 | 153 | 20.3% | 76.5% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -BETHEL-1/2BETHEL-1/2 | 37 | 111 | 4 | 152 | 24.3% | 73.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -MOUND-35MOUND-35 | 35 | 117 | 0 | 152 | 23.0% | 77.0% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -HIRE-14HIRE-14 | 26 | 96 | 8 | 130 | 20.0% | 73.8% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 3-22MACOMB CITY 3-22 | 70 | 48 | 2 | 120 | 58.3% | 40.0% | D+18.3 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 7-30MACOMB CITY 7-30 | 66 | 42 | 6 | 114 | 57.9% | 36.8% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct -ELDORADO-10ELDORADO-10 | 28 | 45 | 0 | 73 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 5-26MACOMB CITY 5-26 | 21 | 31 | 0 | 52 | 40.4% | 59.6% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 1-18MACOMB CITY 1-18 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 30 | 40.0% | 53.3% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -MACOMB CITY 2-20MACOMB CITY 2-20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -MOUND-34MOUND-34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -SCOTLAND-41SCOTLAND-41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| BETHEL Voting District17_17109BT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLANDINSVILLE Voting District17_17109BL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUSHNELL 1 Voting District17_17109BU01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUSHNELL 2 Voting District17_17109BU02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUSHNELL 3 Voting District17_17109BU03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUSHNELL 4 Voting District17_17109BU04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHALMERS Voting District17_17109CH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLCHESTER 1 Voting District17_17109CO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLCHESTER 2 Voting District17_17109CO02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO Voting District17_17109EL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMMET 1 Voting District17_17109EM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMMET 2 Voting District17_17109EM02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIRE Voting District17_17109HI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDUSTRY Voting District17_17109IN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMOINE Voting District17_17109LM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 1 Voting District17_17109MC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 10 Voting District17_17109MC10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 11 Voting District17_17109MC11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 12 Voting District17_17109MC12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 2 Voting District17_17109MC02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 3 Voting District17_17109MC03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 4 Voting District17_17109MC04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 5 Voting District17_17109MC05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 6 Voting District17_17109MC06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 7 Voting District17_17109MC07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 8 Voting District17_17109MC08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB CITY 9 Voting District17_17109MC09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACOMB TWP Voting District17_17109MT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND Voting District17_17109MO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW SALEM Voting District17_17109NS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE CITY Voting District17_17109PC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCIOTA 1 Voting District17_17109SC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTLAND Voting District17_17109ST01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TENNESSEE Voting District17_17109TN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT GROVE Voting District17_17109WG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.2% |
| 1896 | −4.5% |
| 1900 | −8.2% |
| 1904 | −18.0% |
| 1908 | −8.5% |
| 1912 | +15.5% |
| 1916 | −10.7% |
| 1920 | −28.8% |
| 1924 | −28.4% |
| 1928 | −36.9% |
| 1932 | +9.1% |
| 1936 | −9.9% |
| 1940 | −28.0% |
| 1944 | −33.3% |
| 1948 | −31.1% |
| 1952 | −44.1% |
| 1956 | −43.0% |
| 1960 | −34.9% |
| 1964 | −5.8% |
| 1968 | −36.5% |
| 1972 | −34.5% |
| 1976 | −27.2% |
| 1980 | −33.6% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −15.4% |
| 1992 | +3.7% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −3.0% |
| 2004 | −3.6% |
| 2008 | +5.6% |
| 2012 | −1.4% |
| 2016 | −11.5% |
| 2020 | −16.5% |
| 2024 | −18.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,644 |
| 2018 | 19,642 |
| 2020 | 17,786 |
| 2022 | 16,212 |
| 2024 | 18,690 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−130 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,436 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,742 in average income, against $69,567 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.0 on average — 1.2 points more Republican-leaning than McDonough County, IL itself (R+18.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fulton County, IL85R+23.8
- Hancock County, IL58R+49.9
- Cook County, IL47D+41.6
- Warren County, IL29R+25.1
- Schuyler County, IL26R+46.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cook County, IL59
- Fulton County, IL41
- Hancock County, IL40
- Peoria County, IL25
- Knox County, IL24
- Sangamon County, IL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −146 |
| 2012 | −8 |
| 2013 | −380 |
| 2014 | −564 |
| 2015 | −383 |
| 2016 | −568 |
| 2017 | −629 |
| 2018 | −417 |
| 2019 | −344 |
| 2021 | +50 |
| 2022 | −318 |
| 2023 | +56 |
| 2024 | −655 |
| 2025 | −130 |
Home to Western Illinois University in Macomb, McDonough County pairs a modest college-town influence with a predominantly rural, farm-economy electorate that produced an R+18.8 presidential margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 44.1 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.
A population of 26,920, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,795 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Athens County and Clay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McDonough County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.