† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMechanicsvilleVirginiaUnited States
English19.6%12.0%9.5%
German10.9%10.1%12.5%
Irish10.5%9.1%9.4%
American10.2%8.4%5.3%
Italian4.0%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.5%1.9%1.3%
Scotch-Irish2.1%——
Polish2.0%1.6%2.2%
African American†8.2%15.6%9.9%
Mexican0.7%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%1.4%1.8%
Salvadoran0.4%2.1%0.7%
Colombian0.2%0.3%0.4%
Asian Indian0.4%1.8%1.4%
Filipino0.3%0.9%0.9%
Chinese0.2%0.8%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Mechanicsville
Virginia
United States
Median age
41.8
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.8%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Mechanicsville
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$98,595
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
5.2%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.8%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Mechanicsville
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.9%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
1.5%
7.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Mechanicsville
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Mechanicsville, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−47.4%
2008
−38.1%
2012
−40.0%
2016
−36.3%
2020
−30.0%
2024
−27.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.4%Harris8,804
63.1%Trump15,696
1.5%
R+27.7
D+2.3
R+26.3
24,861
R
34.0%Biden8,323
64.0%Trump15,670
2.0%
R+30.0
D+6.3
R+34.5
24,476
R
28.9%Clinton6,384
65.2%Trump14,387
5.8%
R+36.3
D+3.7
R+38.4
22,060
R
29.3%Obama6,157
69.3%Romney14,558
1.4%
R+40.0
R+1.9
R+43.8
21,008
R
30.6%Obama6,166
68.7%McCain13,843
0.7%
R+38.1
D+9.3
R+45.4
20,150
R
26.2%Kerry4,665
73.6%Bush13,106
0.2%
R+47.4
—
R+45.0
17,804
Mechanicsville sits just northeast of Richmond along the I-295 corridor, drawing households priced out of the city proper. Its rapid residential expansion has shifted its demographic profile toward younger families while retaining a predominantly suburban, homeowning electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.7 points.
A population of 38,683, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $98,595 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mount Juliet and Madison.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Mechanicsville, Virginia voted Republican by 27.7 points (R+27.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,861 votes cast, 8,804 went Democratic and 15,696 went Republican.
How many people live in Mechanicsville, Virginia?
Mechanicsville, Virginia has a population of 38,683 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mechanicsville, Virginia?
Median household income in Mechanicsville, Virginia is $98,595 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Mechanicsville, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mechanicsville, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
