akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 10·Virginia

Virginia 10th State Senate District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 27 points.

One of Virginia's most Democratic-leaning upper-chamber districts

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
R+27
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
254,895
2024 ACS

Virginia 10th State Senate District, Virginia: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+27MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
254,8952024 5-year
Median household income
$96,1832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.3%2024 5-year
Black
13.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+65 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
11 counties · 1 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−27.1%
56,82399,775158,748
R
−25.6%
54,54292,878149,972
R
−28.6%
42,95780,046129,636
R
−26.1%
44,68276,942123,502
R
−22.2%
45,13171,222117,488
R
−31.9%
33,65965,56799,997
R
−27.7%
29,31352,64384,094
R
−19.0%
25,44638,82570,482
R
−20.2%
22,29136,37569,689
R
−34.5%
18,17637,61456,361
R
−36.2%
16,89936,31853,659
R
−19.4%
18,02627,12646,925
R
−6.9%
18,97521,85541,962
R
−36.6%
10,18622,40133,354
R
−10.4%
9,28312,59531,948
R
−4.9%
15,52017,13032,707
R
−4.6%
8,1328,93517,281
R
−15.9%
5,1497,77016,477
R
−6.4%
7,0267,98515,095
D
+23.3%
5,7323,24810,660
D
+39.9%
6,5402,8009,375
D
+49.2%
6,7052,2719,018
D
+54.7%
7,2782,1139,437
D
+59.8%
6,4801,5758,197
D
+17.0%
4,8833,4648,348
D
+54.7%
4,6491,2816,160
D
+47.6%
4,9181,7306,693
D
+59.2%
4,5531,1525,744
D
+65.1%
3,9025895,086
D
+44.5%
3,9521,5085,488
D
+39.4%
3,7551,6185,428
D
+3.8%
6,9356,42213,452
D
+0.6%
7,9007,80615,877
D
+1.5%
7,2657,03315,713
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
17.6%
German
11.6%
Irish
11.0%
American
9.1%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
2.5%
Polish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.2%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
13.5%
Other Christian
9.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.8%
Methodist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+23.6, this Northern Virginia district anchors the Democratic end of the state senate map, reflecting the dense, highly educated suburbs that have reshaped Virginia's political geography over the past decade.

The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Virginia 10th State Senate District, by a six points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points.

The political shift has tracked, in Virginia 10th State Senate District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $96,183, and a 8% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 10, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 10, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 10, Virginia voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 158,748 votes cast, 56,823 went Democratic and 99,775 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 10, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 10, Virginia as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 10, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 10, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in State Senate District 10, Virginia?
State Senate District 10, Virginia has a population of 254,895 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 10, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 10, Virginia is $96,183 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 10, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 10, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.