New Braunfels, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −49.6% |
| 2008 | −39.2% |
| 2012 | −46.2% |
| 2016 | −39.4% |
| 2020 | −31.2% |
| 2024 | −36.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31.4%Harris14,462 | 67.4%Trump31,073 | 1.2% | R+36.0 | R+4.8 | R+34.6 | 46,108 | |
| R | 33.5%Biden14,014 | 64.8%Trump27,067 | 1.7% | R+31.2 | D+8.1 | R+35.7 | 41,779 | |
| R | 27.5%Clinton7,867 | 66.9%Trump19,118 | 5.5% | R+39.4 | D+6.8 | R+41.5 | 28,568 | |
| R | 26.2%Obama6,197 | 72.4%Romney17,141 | 1.5% | R+46.2 | R+7.0 | R+50.1 | 23,690 | |
| R | 30.1%Obama6,684 | 69.3%McCain15,380 | 0.6% | R+39.2 | D+10.4 | R+46.4 | 22,200 | |
| R | 24.9%Kerry4,964 | 74.4%Bush14,857 | 0.7% | R+49.6 | — | R+47.1 | 19,965 |
New Braunfels has ranked among the fastest-growing U.S. cities for over a decade, with rapid in-migration from Austin and San Antonio reshaping a historically German Hill Country electorate into a competitive suburban battleground.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.0 points.
A population of 104,643, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,021 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Conroe and Amarillo.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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New Braunfels, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4850820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.