Nederland, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −36.5% |
| 2008 | −55.3% |
| 2012 | −61.5% |
| 2016 | −60.3% |
| 2020 | −57.2% |
| 2024 | −58.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20.3%Harris1,623 | 78.8%Trump6,305 | 1.0% | R+58.5 | R+1.2 | R+57.0 | 8,005 | |
| R | 20.7%Biden1,748 | 78.0%Trump6,580 | 1.3% | R+57.2 | D+3.1 | R+61.7 | 8,441 | |
| R | 18.1%Clinton1,352 | 78.4%Trump5,867 | 3.6% | R+60.3 | D+1.2 | R+62.4 | 7,487 | |
| R | 18.8%Obama1,332 | 80.3%Romney5,692 | 0.9% | R+61.5 | R+6.2 | R+65.3 | 7,090 | |
| R | 22.0%Obama1,574 | 77.4%McCain5,525 | 0.6% | R+55.3 | R+18.9 | R+62.6 | 7,140 | |
| R | 31.5%Kerry2,471 | 68.0%Bush5,328 | 0.5% | R+36.5 | — | R+34.0 | 7,836 |
Nederland sits in the heart of Jefferson County's industrial belt, where proximity to Port Arthur refineries ties household income directly to energy-sector cycles and produces consistently high Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 61.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.5 points.
A population of 18,381, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,570 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Port Neches and Sulphur.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Nederland, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4850580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.