Leon Valley, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −21.2% |
| 2008 | −2.2% |
| 2012 | +1.1% |
| 2016 | +10.0% |
| 2020 | +16.9% |
| 2024 | +9.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 54.1%Harris2,528 | 44.5%Trump2,079 | 1.4% | D+9.6 | R+7.3 | D+11.1 | 4,672 | |
| D | 57.9%Biden2,963 | 41.0%Trump2,099 | 1.1% | D+16.9 | D+6.8 | D+12.4 | 5,118 | |
| D | 52.1%Clinton2,302 | 42.1%Trump1,859 | 5.8% | D+10.0 | D+8.9 | D+7.9 | 4,416 | |
| D | 49.8%Obama2,065 | 48.6%Romney2,018 | 1.6% | D+1.1 | D+3.3 | R+2.7 | 4,149 | |
| R | 48.7%Obama2,137 | 50.9%McCain2,232 | 0.4% | R+2.2 | D+19.0 | R+9.4 | 4,386 | |
| R | 38.9%Kerry1,613 | 60.1%Bush2,492 | 1.1% | R+21.2 | — | R+18.7 | 4,149 |
Leon Valley sits entirely inside Bexar County's Loop 410, making it one of the few fully encircled independent cities in the metro. Its heavily Hispanic, working-class electorate has shifted measurably in recent cycles, drawing attention from both parties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 21.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.6 points.
A population of 11,446, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,481 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kirby and Thousand Palms.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Leon Valley, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4842388/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.