Carrollton, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −33.9% |
| 2008 | −14.5% |
| 2012 | −17.3% |
| 2016 | +1.5% |
| 2020 | +12.6% |
| 2024 | +5.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 51.8%Harris27,671 | 46.2%Trump24,658 | 2.0% | D+5.6 | R+6.9 | D+7.1 | 53,383 | |
| D | 55.7%Biden31,810 | 43.1%Trump24,619 | 1.3% | D+12.6 | D+11.1 | D+8.1 | 57,151 | |
| D | 48.1%Clinton21,641 | 46.6%Trump20,979 | 5.3% | D+1.5 | D+18.7 | R+0.6 | 45,019 | |
| R | 40.6%Obama16,070 | 57.8%Romney22,913 | 1.6% | R+17.3 | R+2.8 | R+21.1 | 39,627 | |
| R | 42.6%Obama18,093 | 57.1%McCain24,236 | 0.3% | R+14.5 | D+19.5 | R+21.7 | 42,473 | |
| R | 32.8%Kerry13,127 | 66.7%Bush26,708 | 0.5% | R+33.9 | — | R+31.5 | 40,019 |
Carrollton's rapid demographic diversification — driven by large South and East Asian communities — has compressed margins in races that once leaned heavily in one direction, making it a bellwether for suburban realignment across the Metroplex.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 33.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 133,740, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,396 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lewisville and Plano.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Carrollton, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4813024/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.