Carthage, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −36.3% |
| 2008 | −45.2% |
| 2012 | −51.8% |
| 2016 | −58.9% |
| 2020 | −56.9% |
| 2024 | −58.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20.6%Harris610 | 79.0%Trump2,336 | 0.3% | R+58.4 | R+1.5 | R+56.9 | 2,956 | |
| R | 21.3%Biden652 | 78.2%Trump2,393 | 0.5% | R+56.9 | D+2.0 | R+61.3 | 3,060 | |
| R | 19.9%Clinton566 | 78.8%Trump2,241 | 1.3% | R+58.9 | R+7.1 | R+61.0 | 2,843 | |
| R | 23.7%Obama687 | 75.6%Romney2,187 | 0.7% | R+51.8 | R+6.7 | R+55.7 | 2,894 | |
| R | 27.1%Obama789 | 72.3%McCain2,104 | 0.6% | R+45.2 | R+8.8 | R+52.4 | 2,911 | |
| R | 31.6%Kerry789 | 68.0%Bush1,695 | 0.4% | R+36.3 | — | R+33.9 | 2,494 |
Carthage sits at the heart of Panola County, a historically Democratic stronghold that shifted hard-red over the past two decades as rural East Texas realigned along cultural and economic lines tied to the energy and timber industries.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 58.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.4 points.
A population of 6,601, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,250 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Joshua and Henderson.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Carthage, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4813108/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.