† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNolensvilleTennesseeUnited States
English20.6%13.3%9.5%
German13.1%9.1%12.5%
Irish11.8%9.3%9.4%
American8.4%11.3%5.3%
Italian3.9%2.2%4.8%
Scottish3.3%2.2%1.3%
French2.1%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish2.1%1.7%—
Mexican2.1%3.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.6%1.8%
Honduran0.4%0.5%0.3%
Cuban0.3%0.2%0.7%
Spanish0.2%——
Asian Indian2.2%0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.6%0.2%1.3%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
African American†2.3%14.3%9.9%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nolensville
Tennessee
United States
Median age
37.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
11.2%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
8.0%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nolensville
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$177,148
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
2.1%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
66.6%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nolensville
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.8%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.7%
5.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.8%
0.7%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.0%
0.5%
1.1%
Arabic
2.0%
0.5%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nolensville
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
—
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
44.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nolensville, Tennessee
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−46.5%
2008
−41.6%
2012
−45.1%
2016
−34.2%
2020
−22.8%
2024
−29.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
34.5%Harris2,874
63.6%Trump5,300
2.0%
R+29.1
R+6.3
R+27.6
8,339
R
37.8%Biden2,801
60.6%Trump4,494
1.6%
R+22.8
D+11.3
R+27.3
7,417
R
29.3%Clinton1,359
63.5%Trump2,942
7.2%
R+34.2
D+11.0
R+36.2
4,635
R
26.8%Obama666
71.9%Romney1,787
1.3%
R+45.1
R+3.5
R+49.0
2,485
R
28.7%Obama1,037
70.3%McCain2,542
1.1%
R+41.6
D+4.9
R+48.9
3,617
R
26.2%Kerry812
72.7%Bush2,255
1.1%
R+46.5
—
R+44.1
3,100
Nolensville has been one of Tennessee's fastest-growing communities, with its population nearly doubling in a decade as Nashville-area sprawl pushed south into Williamson County's reliably high-turnout, high-income precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 46.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 15,074, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $177,148 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lantana and Brentwood.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Nolensville, Tennessee voted Republican by 29.1 points (R+29.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,339 votes cast, 2,874 went Democratic and 5,300 went Republican.
How many people live in Nolensville, Tennessee?
Nolensville, Tennessee has a population of 15,074 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nolensville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nolensville, Tennessee is $177,148 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nolensville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Nolensville, Tennessee from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
