Tennessee 5th Congressional District, Tennessee: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 646,2932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,3732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: COOPER, James Hayes Shofner (2021–2023), COOPER, James Hayes Shofner (2019–2021), COOPER, James Hayes Shofner (2017–2019), COOPER, James Hayes Shofner (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 124,811 | 172,113 | 302,557 | ||
| R | 132,650 | 156,279 | 295,850 | ||
| R | 93,920 | 123,733 | 230,914 | ||
| R | 91,986 | 122,994 | 218,637 | ||
| R | 102,028 | 120,914 | 225,669 | ||
| R | 88,822 | 112,140 | 202,261 | ||
| D | 82,464 | 80,129 | 165,360 | ||
| D | 73,727 | 64,233 | 147,001 | ||
| D | 71,177 | 57,965 | 146,340 | ||
| R | 52,694 | 67,840 | 121,210 | ||
| R | 53,266 | 67,371 | 121,339 | ||
| D | 64,061 | 44,871 | 112,437 | ||
| D | 62,745 | 37,153 | 101,099 | ||
| R | 27,384 | 49,603 | 79,384 | ||
| O | 25,450 | 24,297 | 85,838 | ||
| D | 49,685 | 26,306 | 75,991 | ||
| D | 39,377 | 29,292 | 69,243 | ||
| D | 38,450 | 21,138 | 60,337 | ||
| D | 36,773 | 21,720 | 58,608 | ||
| D | 17,815 | 5,703 | 30,240 | ||
| D | 22,611 | 6,146 | 28,818 | ||
| D | 22,683 | 5,308 | 28,038 | ||
| D | 20,013 | 3,240 | 23,345 | ||
| D | 17,242 | 4,032 | 21,516 | ||
| D | 11,560 | 9,065 | 20,642 | ||
| D | 11,202 | 3,514 | 15,442 | ||
| D | 12,134 | 6,431 | 18,695 | ||
| D | 9,958 | 3,537 | 13,638 | ||
| D | 10,177 | 2,425 | 14,056 | ||
| D | 9,618 | 3,220 | 13,052 | ||
| D | 9,866 | 3,270 | 13,599 | ||
| D | 10,991 | 5,311 | 16,795 | ||
| D | 13,405 | 7,226 | 21,010 | ||
| D | 11,147 | 4,150 | 17,070 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.2% | 63.8% | 3,007,608 |
| 2020 | R | 35.2% | 62.2% | 2,959,761 |
| 2018 | R | 43.9% | 54.7% | 2,243,740 |
| 2014 | R | 31.9% | 61.9% | 1,374,065 |
| 2012 | R | 30.4% | 64.9% | 2,321,477 |
| 2008 | R | 31.6% | 65.1% | 2,424,585 |
| 2006 | R | 48.0% | 50.7% | 1,833,695 |
| 2002 | R | 44.3% | 54.3% | 1,642,432 |
| 2000 | R | 32.2% | 65.1% | 1,928,613 |
| 1996 | R | 36.8% | 61.4% | 1,778,664 |
| 1994 | R | 42.1% | 56.4% | 1,480,391 |
| 1990 | D | 67.7% | 29.8% | 783,922 |
| 1988 | D | 65.1% | 34.5% | 1,567,181 |
| 1984 | D | 60.7% | 33.8% | 1,648,036 |
| 1982 | D | 61.9% | 38.1% | 1,259,785 |
| 1978 | R | 40.3% | 55.5% | 1,157,094 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5% | 47.0% | 1,432,046 |
Demographics
Tennessee's 5th district, centered on Nashville, posted an 18-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier in a state that has trended decisively Republican at nearly every other level of federal and statewide competition.
The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in Tennessee 5th Congressional District, by a twelve points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at twenty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was sixteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Tennessee 5th Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $91,373, and a 10% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 5, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4705/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.