Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic60.5%842TrumpRepublican38.4%534OtherAll other candidates1.1%16
D+22.1
Lead
308
Total
1,392
vs nation
D+23.6
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic63.1%946TrumpRepublican35.1%527OtherAll other candidates1.8%27
D+27.9
Lead
419
Total
1,500
vs nation
D+23.5
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic54.4%617TrumpRepublican41.3%469OtherAll other candidates4.3%49
D+13.0
Lead
148
Total
1,135
vs nation
D+10.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic51.4%330RomneyRepublican47.2%303OtherAll other candidates1.4%9
D+4.2
Lead
27
Total
642
vs nation
D+0.4
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic57.8%677McCainRepublican41.0%480OtherAll other candidates1.2%14
D+16.8
Lead
197
Total
1,171
vs nation
D+9.6
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic55.5%620BushRepublican43.2%482OtherAll other candidates1.3%15
D+12.4
Lead
138
Total
1,117
vs nation
D+14.8
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+22.1MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7642024 5-year
Median household income
$186,8752024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+27.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+12.4%
2008
+16.8%
2012
+4.2%
2016
+13.0%
2020
+27.9%
2024
+22.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
60.5%Harris842
38.4%Trump534
1.1%
D+22.1
R+5.8
D+23.6
1,392
D
63.1%Biden946
35.1%Trump527
1.8%
D+27.9
D+14.9
D+23.5
1,500
D
54.4%Clinton617
41.3%Trump469
4.3%
D+13.0
D+8.8
D+10.9
1,135
D
51.4%Obama330
47.2%Romney303
1.4%
D+4.2
R+12.6
D+0.4
642
D
57.8%Obama677
41.0%McCain480
1.2%
D+16.8
—
D+9.6
1,171
D
55.5%Kerry620
43.2%Bush482
1.3%
D+12.4
—
D+14.8
1,117
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Water Mill's registered voter count swells each summer as second-home owners establish domicile, creating an electorate whose composition shifts measurably between odd- and even-year cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.9 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 2,764, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $186,875 describe the city.
In 2024, Water Mill, New York voted Democratic by 22.1 points (D+22.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,392 votes cast, 842 went Democratic and 534 went Republican.
How many people live in Water Mill, New York?
Water Mill, New York has a population of 2,764 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Water Mill, New York?
Median household income in Water Mill, New York is $186,875 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Water Mill, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Water Mill, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.