- Lead
- 4,992
- Total
- 72,845
- vs nation
- R+5.4
New York 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,301
- Total
- 73,198
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Lead
- 3,658
- Total
- 65,645
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 2,825
- Total
- 57,871
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 4,605
- Total
- 63,859
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Lead
- 1,497
- Total
- 61,975
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Lead
- 6,983
- Total
- 55,520
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Lead
- 8,237
- Total
- 49,565
- vs nation
- D+8.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 128,2712024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,295 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 55.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $157,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.6 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 10, NY · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
New York 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.0%
17,604 votes · D+12.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 53.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.0%
15,968 votes · R+54.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 72.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
37,284votes
50.9% of the vote · D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 33,784 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
34,983votes
47.8% of the vote · D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 33,273 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+12.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.6 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +8.1 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+45.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +43.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 12 sits in New York's suburban ring, where a 6.8-point Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race reflects broader shifts among working- and middle-class voters that have reshaped competitive state legislative maps across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.6 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 54.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.9 points.
A population of 128,271, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $157,758 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 10 and Assembly District 8.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.