- Lead
- 3,263
- Total
- 68,457
- vs nation
- D+6.2
New York 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,879
- Total
- 69,589
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Lead
- 5,479
- Total
- 60,404
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Lead
- 10,223
- Total
- 54,225
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Lead
- 12,698
- Total
- 59,810
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Lead
- 9,536
- Total
- 57,843
- vs nation
- D+18.9
- Lead
- 13,927
- Total
- 52,713
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Lead
- 13,547
- Total
- 47,117
- vs nation
- D+20.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,0492024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,318 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 56.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $169,8312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.8 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.5 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 12, NY · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
New York 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.5%
20,569 votes · D+27.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 61.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
69.7%
14,137 votes · R+39.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
40,310votes
57.9% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 35,998 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
28,431votes
40.9% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 26,374 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+25.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.4 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +22.3 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+34.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +32.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 10 covers part of Staten Island, where a 4.8-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 signals a competitive zone in a borough that more often tilts decisively in the other direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.8 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 39.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.
A population of 130,049, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $169,831 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 12 and Assembly District 1.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.