akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 10·New York

New York 10th State House District delivered R+8 in 2024.

A competitive Staten Island seat decided by single digits in 2024

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
92,187
2024 ACS

New York 10th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
92,1872024 5-year
Median household income
$134,9112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
63.3%2024 5-year
Black
8.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−8.3%
21,09924,95646,373
D
+2.7%
23,86722,61747,040
R
−3.2%
19,32620,64541,557
D
+4.8%
18,79917,05336,317
D
+6.7%
21,37518,67740,408
D
+2.3%
19,68618,79839,172
D
+13.8%
19,61114,66735,829
D
+16.9%
16,96311,55731,989
D
+0.7%
14,78614,52035,907
R
−19.5%
13,25219,74133,252
R
−29.4%
11,85821,79033,728
R
−22.8%
10,32417,26230,480
R
−7.1%
14,60216,85931,654
R
−35.4%
10,37421,79932,244
R
−18.2%
10,40715,51628,049
D
+15.6%
14,82910,82525,682
R
−14.8%
9,75613,16322,945
R
−46.6%
5,12914,08319,212
R
−44.4%
4,06810,59314,712
R
−42.9%
2,5496,6409,538
R
−34.7%
2,7885,7638,572
R
−31.4%
2,8065,3898,215
R
−15.7%
2,7913,8626,819
R
−12.4%
2,4663,1835,783
R
−31.3%
1,5793,0894,820
R
−47.6%
6982,2073,168
R
−51.4%
5431,7702,386
R
−21.3%
5228101,351
D
+12.0%
4733291,197
R
−28.3%
3466451,058
R
−18.9%
3935841,009
R
−24.1%
329547905
R
−39.2%
170412618
R
−5.1%
275307623
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
19.5%
Irish
14.9%
German
9.9%
Polish
3.9%
American
3.8%
English
3.7%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.5%
2.3%
75–84
3.1%
5.0%
65–74
5.5%
7.3%
55–64
7.4%
6.6%
45–54
6.6%
6.1%
35–44
6.0%
6.2%
25–34
5.9%
4.5%
18–24
4.3%
8.0%
5–17
7.7%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$134,911
Assembly District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 10$134,911
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 186.7%
Working age (18–64)5.7%
Seniors (65+)8.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.6%
speak English only
Spanish15.4%
Other Indo-European7.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.1%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
52.9%
Non-Christian
4.9%
Other Christian
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Methodist
1.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Baptist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 10 covers part of Staten Island, where a 4.7-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 signals a competitive zone in a borough that more often tilts decisively in the other direction.

The Democratic margin in New York 10th State House District has rarely exceeded seventeen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $134,911 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 10, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 10, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 10, New York voted Republican by 8.3 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,373 votes cast, 21,099 went Democratic and 24,956 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 10, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 10, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 10, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 10, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 10, New York?
Assembly District 10, New York has a population of 92,187 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 10, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 10, New York is $134,911 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 10, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 10, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.