HarrisDemocratic47.8%3,756TrumpRepublican51.6%4,051OtherAll other candidates0.6%48
R+3.8- Lead
- 295
- Total
- 7,855
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Spring Valley, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic61.3%4,657TrumpRepublican38.1%2,897OtherAll other candidates0.5%40
D+23.2- Lead
- 1,760
- Total
- 7,594
- vs nation
- D+18.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic72.1%4,841TrumpRepublican25.4%1,705OtherAll other candidates2.4%164
D+46.7- Lead
- 3,136
- Total
- 6,710
- vs nation
- D+44.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic77.4%5,209RomneyRepublican21.4%1,442OtherAll other candidates1.1%77
D+56.0- Lead
- 3,767
- Total
- 6,728
- vs nation
- D+52.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic74.9%5,370McCainRepublican24.5%1,758OtherAll other candidates0.6%41
D+50.4- Lead
- 3,612
- Total
- 7,169
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic72.0%4,956BushRepublican26.8%1,848OtherAll other candidates1.2%80
D+45.1- Lead
- 3,108
- Total
- 6,884
- vs nation
- D+47.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,1922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.0 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+3.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Naranja, FL · twin score 90.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +45.1% |
| 2008 | +50.4% |
| 2012 | +56.0% |
| 2016 | +46.7% |
| 2020 | +23.2% |
| 2024 | −3.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47.8%Harris3,756 | 51.6%Trump4,051 | 0.6% | R+3.8 | R+26.9 | R+2.3 | 7,855 | |
| D | 61.3%Biden4,657 | 38.1%Trump2,897 | 0.5% | D+23.2 | R+23.6 | D+18.7 | 7,594 | |
| D | 72.1%Clinton4,841 | 25.4%Trump1,705 | 2.4% | D+46.7 | R+9.3 | D+44.6 | 6,710 | |
| D | 77.4%Obama5,209 | 21.4%Romney1,442 | 1.1% | D+56.0 | D+5.6 | D+52.1 | 6,728 | |
| D | 74.9%Obama5,370 | 24.5%McCain1,758 | 0.6% | D+50.4 | — | D+43.1 | 7,169 | |
| D | 72.0%Kerry4,956 | 26.8%Bush1,848 | 1.2% | D+45.1 | — | D+47.6 | 6,884 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.3%3,458 | 50.7%3,561 | 7,019 |
| 2020 | D | 75.9%4,369 | 24.1%1,387 | 5,756 |
Spring Valley's electorate is shaped by one of the highest proportions of foreign-born residents in Rockland County, producing turnout patterns and candidate coalitions that diverge sharply from neighboring towns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.0 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 3.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 26.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.8 points.
A population of 33,192, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,196 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Naranja and Passaic.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Naranja
Florida
90.8twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ % Latino
Passaic
New Jersey
90.6twin score
12-yr trend2008–2016 trajectory≠ % Latino
Florida City
Florida
89.7twin score
12-yr trend2008–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Spring Valley, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3670420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Spring Valley, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Spring Valley, New York voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+3.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,855 votes cast, 3,756 went Democratic and 4,051 went Republican.
When did Spring Valley, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Spring Valley, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Spring Valley, New York?
Spring Valley, New York has a population of 33,192 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Spring Valley, New York?
Median household income in Spring Valley, New York is $57,196 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Spring Valley, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Spring Valley, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.