Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic86.4%2,339TrumpRepublican11.3%307OtherAll other candidates2.2%60
D+75.1
Lead
2,032
Total
2,706
vs nation
D+76.6
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic89.5%2,318TrumpRepublican9.8%254OtherAll other candidates0.7%17
D+79.7
Lead
2,064
Total
2,589
vs nation
D+75.3
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic88.7%2,149TrumpRepublican8.5%206OtherAll other candidates2.8%67
D+80.2
Lead
1,943
Total
2,422
vs nation
D+78.1
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic88.5%2,204RomneyRepublican10.4%259OtherAll other candidates1.0%26
D+78.1
Lead
1,945
Total
2,489
vs nation
D+74.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic88.7%2,120McCainRepublican10.8%257OtherAll other candidates0.5%12
D+78.0
Lead
1,863
Total
2,389
vs nation
D+70.7
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic81.2%1,663BushRepublican18.2%373OtherAll other candidates0.6%12
D+63.0
Lead
1,290
Total
2,048
vs nation
D+65.4
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+75.1MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4542024 5-year
Median household income
$109,7072024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
21.1%2024 5-year
Black
48.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+80.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+63.0%
2008
+78.0%
2012
+78.1%
2016
+80.2%
2020
+79.7%
2024
+75.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
86.4%Harris2,339
11.3%Trump307
2.2%
D+75.1
—
D+76.6
2,706
D
89.5%Biden2,318
9.8%Trump254
0.7%
D+79.7
—
D+75.3
2,589
D
88.7%Clinton2,149
8.5%Trump206
2.8%
D+80.2
D+2.1
D+78.1
2,422
D
88.5%Obama2,204
10.4%Romney259
1.0%
D+78.1
D+0.2
D+74.3
2,489
D
88.7%Obama2,120
10.8%McCain257
0.5%
D+78.0
—
D+70.7
2,389
D
81.2%Kerry1,663
18.2%Bush373
0.6%
D+63.0
—
D+65.4
2,048
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
82.4%2,235
16.9%458
2,713
National Harbor is a master-planned development on the Potomac in Prince George's County, where a transient hospitality workforce and a small permanent resident base make traditional precinct-level analysis unusually sensitive to turnout fluctuations.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 75.1 points.
A population of 4,454, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,707 describe the city.
In 2024, National Harbor, Maryland voted Democratic by 75.1 points (D+75.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,706 votes cast, 2,339 went Democratic and 307 went Republican.
How many people live in National Harbor, Maryland?
National Harbor, Maryland has a population of 4,454 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in National Harbor, Maryland?
Median household income in National Harbor, Maryland is $109,707 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of National Harbor, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in National Harbor, Maryland from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.