- Lead
- 207,624
- Total
- 283,726
- vs nation
- D+74.6
Maryland 4th Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 245,410
- Total
- 304,011
- vs nation
- D+76.3
- Lead
- 248,249
- Total
- 300,429
- vs nation
- D+80.5
- Lead
- 247,902
- Total
- 300,840
- vs nation
- D+78.5
- Lead
- 233,910
- Total
- 289,630
- vs nation
- D+73.5
- Lead
- 167,383
- Total
- 244,636
- vs nation
- D+70.9
- Lead
- 136,438
- Total
- 208,348
- vs nation
- D+65.0
- Lead
- 103,867
- Total
- 183,264
- vs nation
- D+48.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+73.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 770,5332024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,548 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 217 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $91,9872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+9.0 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 7, MD · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Maryland 4th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
90.7%
272,823 votes · D+82.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 90.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
54.1%
6,329 votes · R+9.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 53.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
272,823votes
90.7% of the vote · D+82.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 271,689 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75,830votes
53.9% of the vote · R+8.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 62,975 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+80.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +78.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
−3.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+11.1 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · −4.3 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Maryland's 4th covers majority-Black suburbs south and east of Washington, D.C., and has posted presidential margins exceeding 50 points for over a decade, making it among the least competitive districts in the country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.6 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 9.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.2 points.
A population of 770,533, a 11% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,987 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 7.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maryland 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2404/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.