HarrisDemocratic22.6%692TrumpRepublican76.3%2,334OtherAll other candidates1.0%32
R+53.7- Lead
- 1,642
- Total
- 3,058
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Middlesborough, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic25.6%855TrumpRepublican73.2%2,443OtherAll other candidates1.2%39
R+47.6- Lead
- 1,588
- Total
- 3,337
- vs nation
- R+52.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic24.8%813TrumpRepublican71.6%2,345OtherAll other candidates3.6%118
R+46.8- Lead
- 1,532
- Total
- 3,276
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic29.4%909RomneyRepublican69.2%2,143OtherAll other candidates1.4%43
R+39.9- Lead
- 1,234
- Total
- 3,095
- vs nation
- R+43.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.7%1,056McCainRepublican65.0%2,101OtherAll other candidates2.3%73
R+32.4- Lead
- 1,045
- Total
- 3,230
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.9%1,590BushRepublican57.0%2,111OtherAll other candidates0.1%5
R+14.1- Lead
- 521
- Total
- 3,706
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,1232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $31,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Newport, TN · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −14.1% |
| 2008 | −32.4% |
| 2012 | −39.9% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −47.6% |
| 2024 | −53.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22.6%Harris692 | 76.3%Trump2,334 | 1.0% | R+53.7 | — | R+52.2 | 3,058 | |
| R | 25.6%Biden855 | 73.2%Trump2,443 | 1.2% | R+47.6 | — | R+52.0 | 3,337 | |
| R | 24.8%Clinton813 | 71.6%Trump2,345 | 3.6% | R+46.8 | R+6.9 | R+48.9 | 3,276 | |
| R | 29.4%Obama909 | 69.2%Romney2,143 | 1.4% | R+39.9 | R+7.5 | R+43.7 | 3,095 | |
| R | 32.7%Obama1,056 | 65.0%McCain2,101 | 2.3% | R+32.4 | — | R+39.6 | 3,230 | |
| R | 42.9%Kerry1,590 | 57.0%Bush2,111 | 0.1% | R+14.1 | — | R+11.6 | 3,706 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%2,458 | 2,458 |
| 2020 | R | 14.6%561 | 85.4%3,289 | 3,850 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 22.7%843 | 77.3%2,867 | 3,710 |
Middlesborough sits at the narrow pass where Kentucky, Virginia, and Tennessee converge, giving it an Appalachian identity that tracks closely with the region's decades-long partisan realignment from solid-Democratic to reliably Republican in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 53.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.7 points.
A population of 9,123, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,106 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Newport and Lexington.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Newport
Tennessee
97.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Lexington
Tennessee
97.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Chillicothe
Missouri
96.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectorycollege share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middlesborough, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2151924/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Middlesborough, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middlesborough, Kentucky voted Republican by 53.7 points (R+53.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,058 votes cast, 692 went Democratic and 2,334 went Republican.
How many people live in Middlesborough, Kentucky?
Middlesborough, Kentucky has a population of 9,123 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middlesborough, Kentucky?
Median household income in Middlesborough, Kentucky is $31,106 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Middlesborough, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Middlesborough, Kentucky from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.