Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Middlesborough, KY
presidential margin
2008R+40.62012R+51.72016R+62.22020R+63.22024R+68.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+68.7
2024
median income$31,354U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age41.7U.S. 39.1 · KY 39.2
poverty rate28.8%U.S. 12.5% · KY 16.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)15.8%U.S. 35.6% · KY 27.7%
non-english0.5%U.S. 22.3% · KY 6.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English10.5%
Irish9.9%
American8.3%
African American†2.7%
Nigerian0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.5%
Black Protestant2.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky

Akashic
Middlesborough, KYTrumpR+68.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Middlesborough, KY, KYA map of the single county of Middlesborough, KY, KY, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bell County, KY · R+68.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican83.8%7,831
Kamala HarrisDemocratic15.2%1,419
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.0%90
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Middlesborough, KY, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bell County, KYRepublicanR+68.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
15.2%Harris1,419
83.8%Trump7,831
1.0%Kennedy90
−68.7%
9,340
R
17.8%Biden1,789
81.0%Trump8,140
1.1%Jorgensen115
−63.2%
10,044
R
17.7%Clinton1,720
79.9%Trump7,764
2.4%Johnson234
−62.2%
9,718
R
23.5%Obama2,224
75.2%Romney7,127
1.4%Johnson131
−51.7%
9,482
R
29.0%Obama2,782
69.6%McCain6,681
1.4%Nader135
−40.6%
9,598
R
38.3%Kerry4,210
61.1%Bush6,722
0.6%Nader70
−22.8%
11,002
R
45.1%Gore4,787
52.6%Bush5,585
2.3%Nader239
−7.5%
10,611
D
50.5%Clinton5,058
39.1%Dole3,917
10.3%Perot1,033
+11.4%
10,008
D
49.6%Clinton5,745
38.9%Bush4,501
11.5%Perot1,329
+10.7%
11,575
R
46.3%Dukakis5,182
51.5%Bush5,759
2.3%Duke252
−5.2%
11,193
R
42.4%Mondale5,490
55.9%Reagan7,249
1.7%Mason222
−13.6%
12,961
D
52.6%Carter6,362
44.9%Reagan5,433
2.4%Anderson293
+7.7%
12,088
D
50.4%Carter5,284
48.0%Ford5,035
1.6%Anderson164
+2.4%
10,483
R
32.6%McGovern3,219
66.1%Nixon6,518
1.3%Schmitz130
−33.4%
9,867
R
40.3%Humphrey4,138
47.7%Nixon4,905
12.0%Wallace1,232
−7.5%
10,275
D
62.2%Johnson6,979
37.3%Goldwater4,185
0.6%Hass63
+24.9%
11,227
R
43.2%Kennedy5,181
56.8%Nixon6,805
0.0%
−13.5%
11,986
R
39.6%Stevenson4,477
60.3%Eisenhower6,824
0.2%Andrews18
−20.7%
11,319
R
44.9%Stevenson5,276
54.9%Eisenhower6,461
0.2%Hallinan24
−10.1%
11,761
D
56.4%Truman5,708
42.7%Dewey4,327
0.9%Thurmond89
+13.6%
10,124
R
48.7%Roosevelt4,616
50.9%Dewey4,822
0.4%Thomas36
−2.2%
9,474
D
54.2%Roosevelt5,910
45.5%Willkie4,962
0.2%Thomas27
+8.7%
10,899
D
56.0%Roosevelt5,853
43.7%Landon4,573
0.3%Lemke35
+12.2%
10,461
D
53.3%Roosevelt5,440
46.0%Hoover4,695
0.8%Thomas78
+7.3%
10,213
R
27.9%Smith2,551
71.8%Hoover6,570
0.3%Thomas24
−43.9%
9,145
R
27.4%Davis2,166
68.0%Coolidge5,371
4.5%La Follette359
−40.6%
7,896
R
25.3%Cox2,277
74.2%Harding6,691
0.5%Debs46
−49.0%
9,014
R
28.8%Wilson1,373
69.7%Hughes3,321
1.5%Benson73
−40.9%
4,767
O
24.4%Wilson970
29.7%Taft1,183
45.9%Roosevelt1,825
Roosevelt +16.1
3,978
R
24.0%Bryan925
73.0%Taft2,815
3.1%Debs118
−49.0%
3,858
R
22.6%Parker538
74.1%Roosevelt1,764
3.3%Debs78
−51.5%
2,380
R
25.7%Bryan748
73.6%McKinley2,142
0.7%Woolley21
−47.9%
2,911
R
24.1%Bryan615
74.5%McKinley1,900
1.3%Palmer34
−50.4%
2,549
R
39.7%Cleveland693
58.3%Harrison1,019
2.0%Weaver35
−18.7%
1,747
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −68.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−68.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−18.7%
1896−50.4%
1900−47.9%
1904−51.5%
1908−49.0%
1912−5.4%
1916−40.9%
1920−49.0%
1924−40.6%
1928−43.9%
1932+7.3%
1936+12.2%
1940+8.7%
1944−2.2%
1948+13.6%
1952−10.1%
1956−20.7%
1960−13.5%
1964+24.9%
1968−7.5%
1972−33.4%
1976+2.4%
1980+7.7%
1984−13.6%
1988−5.2%
1992+10.7%
1996+11.4%
2000−7.5%
2004−22.8%
2008−40.6%
2012−51.7%
2016−62.2%
2020−63.2%
2024−68.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time

19,503 registered voters · 2024

Democratic31.9%Republican61.1%Unaffiliated2.3%Other4.7%
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

Middlesborough sits at the Cumberland Gap, a historically isolated mountain community where economic decline in coal has reshaped voting patterns over two decades, producing some of Kentucky's sharpest swings in turnout and party registration.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 68.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.7 points.

A population of 23,509, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,354 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gadsden, AL and McAlester, OK.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Gadsden, AL
93.5twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity% unaffiliated≠ median income
McAlester, OK
92.1twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Corinth, MS
92.0twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/33180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Middlesborough, KY

counties1
Bell County

Frequently asked questions

How did Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 68.7 points (R+68.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,340 votes cast, 1,419 went Democratic and 7,831 went Republican.
When did Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky has a population of 23,509 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky is $31,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.