Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic55.3%573TrumpRepublican42.6%442OtherAll other candidates2.1%22
D+12.6
Lead
131
Total
1,037
vs nation
D+14.1
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic60.1%426TrumpRepublican37.0%262OtherAll other candidates3.0%21
D+23.1
Lead
164
Total
709
vs nation
D+18.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic58.4%305TrumpRepublican32.4%169OtherAll other candidates9.2%48
D+26.1
Lead
136
Total
522
vs nation
D+24.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic70.2%653RomneyRepublican28.5%265OtherAll other candidates1.3%12
D+41.7
Lead
388
Total
930
vs nation
D+37.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic70.5%963McCainRepublican27.4%374OtherAll other candidates2.1%29
D+43.1
Lead
589
Total
1,366
vs nation
D+35.8
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic52.8%685BushRepublican47.0%609OtherAll other candidates0.2%3
D+5.9
Lead
76
Total
1,297
vs nation
D+8.3
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+12.6MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0502024 5-year
Median household income
$88,2692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
27.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+5.9%
2008
+43.1%
2012
+41.7%
2016
+26.1%
2020
+23.1%
2024
+12.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
55.3%Harris573
42.6%Trump442
2.1%
D+12.6
R+10.5
D+14.1
1,037
D
60.1%Biden426
37.0%Trump262
3.0%
D+23.1
R+2.9
D+18.7
709
D
58.4%Clinton305
32.4%Trump169
9.2%
D+26.1
R+15.7
D+24.0
522
D
70.2%Obama653
28.5%Romney265
1.3%
D+41.7
R+1.4
D+37.9
930
D
70.5%Obama963
27.4%McCain374
2.1%
D+43.1
—
D+35.8
1,366
D
52.8%Kerry685
47.0%Bush609
0.2%
D+5.9
—
D+8.3
1,297
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
62.0%562
34.7%315
907
Waialua's demographics still reflect the multiethnic labor migrations that built Hawaii's sugar industry, and its rural North Shore setting keeps it politically distinct from Honolulu's urban precincts despite lying within the same county.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.1 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.6 points.
A population of 3,050, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,269 describe the city.
In 2024, Waialua, Hawaii voted Democratic by 12.6 points (D+12.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,037 votes cast, 573 went Democratic and 442 went Republican.
How many people live in Waialua, Hawaii?
Waialua, Hawaii has a population of 3,050 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waialua, Hawaii?
Median household income in Waialua, Hawaii is $88,269 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Waialua, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Waialua, Hawaii from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.