HarrisDemocratic38.0%1,116TrumpRepublican60.5%1,776OtherAll other candidates1.4%42
R+22.5- Lead
- 660
- Total
- 2,934
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Surfside, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic51.0%1,568TrumpRepublican48.4%1,488OtherAll other candidates0.7%20
D+2.6- Lead
- 80
- Total
- 3,076
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic57.3%1,506TrumpRepublican40.2%1,055OtherAll other candidates2.5%66
D+17.2- Lead
- 451
- Total
- 2,627
- vs nation
- D+15.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.7%1,321RomneyRepublican45.9%1,129OtherAll other candidates0.4%11
D+7.8- Lead
- 192
- Total
- 2,461
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.7%1,291McCainRepublican46.7%1,144OtherAll other candidates0.7%17
D+6.0- Lead
- 147
- Total
- 2,452
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.7%1,060BushRepublican51.6%1,147OtherAll other candidates0.6%14
R+3.9- Lead
- 87
- Total
- 2,221
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,6312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $100,2082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bay Harbor Islands, FL · twin score 85.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −3.9% |
| 2008 | +6.0% |
| 2012 | +7.8% |
| 2016 | +17.2% |
| 2020 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | −22.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 38.0%Harris1,116 | 60.5%Trump1,776 | 1.4% | R+22.5 | R+25.1 | R+21.0 | 2,934 | |
| D | 51.0%Biden1,568 | 48.4%Trump1,488 | 0.7% | D+2.6 | R+14.6 | R+1.9 | 3,076 | |
| D | 57.3%Clinton1,506 | 40.2%Trump1,055 | 2.5% | D+17.2 | D+9.4 | D+15.1 | 2,627 | |
| D | 53.7%Obama1,321 | 45.9%Romney1,129 | 0.4% | D+7.8 | D+1.8 | D+3.9 | 2,461 | |
| D | 52.7%Obama1,291 | 46.7%McCain1,144 | 0.7% | D+6.0 | — | R+1.3 | 2,452 | |
| R | 47.7%Kerry1,060 | 51.6%Bush1,147 | 0.6% | R+3.9 | — | R+1.5 | 2,221 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 40.8%1,135 | 59.2%1,644 | 2,779 |
| 2020 | D | 51.9%1,521 | 48.1%1,411 | 2,932 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 38.7%1,111 | 60.3%1,731 | 2,872 |
Surfside's roughly 5,600 residents are packed into a half-square-mile strip of beachfront condominiums, making housing policy and coastal regulation persistent focal points in local and county-level contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 22.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 25.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.5 points.
A population of 5,631, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,208 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bay Harbor Islands and Dade City.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bay Harbor Islands
Florida
85.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticitypopulation scale≠ % Latino
Dade City
Florida
78.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
Aventura
Florida
78.0twin score
12-yr trendelasticityAmerican ancestry≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Surfside, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1270075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Surfside, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Surfside, Florida voted Republican by 22.5 points (R+22.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,934 votes cast, 1,116 went Democratic and 1,776 went Republican.
When did Surfside, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Surfside, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Surfside, Florida?
Surfside, Florida has a population of 5,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Surfside, Florida?
Median household income in Surfside, Florida is $100,208 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Surfside, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Surfside, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.