Florida 26th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+20%. Democratic peak: D+97 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,057,6522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,9282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: GIMENEZ, Carlos A. (2021–2023), MUCARSEL-POWELL, Debbie (2019–2021), CURBELO, Carlos (2017–2019), CURBELO, Carlos (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 187,098 | 283,328 | 473,753 | ||
| R | 227,662 | 251,923 | 482,269 | ||
| D | 214,445 | 179,961 | 403,888 | ||
| D | 184,870 | 171,719 | 358,387 | ||
| D | 176,692 | 169,682 | 348,207 | ||
| R | 144,176 | 167,358 | 313,571 | ||
| R | 110,978 | 128,293 | 242,701 | ||
| D | 102,029 | 91,844 | 206,692 | ||
| R | 81,990 | 94,671 | 203,891 | ||
| R | 66,958 | 104,209 | 172,030 | ||
| R | 65,402 | 113,138 | 178,554 | ||
| R | 60,887 | 89,452 | 164,427 | ||
| D | 85,389 | 67,148 | 154,791 | ||
| R | 48,331 | 77,735 | 126,498 | ||
| D | 47,204 | 39,403 | 102,913 | ||
| D | 56,035 | 33,267 | 89,302 | ||
| D | 48,417 | 36,840 | 85,258 | ||
| R | 28,176 | 35,233 | 63,409 | ||
| R | 24,789 | 32,231 | 57,020 | ||
| D | 15,594 | 10,788 | 29,319 | ||
| D | 15,950 | 7,928 | 23,878 | ||
| D | 14,009 | 6,593 | 20,602 | ||
| D | 7,974 | 2,713 | 10,687 | ||
| D | 4,939 | 2,398 | 7,337 | ||
| R | 2,823 | 4,193 | 7,112 | ||
| O | 1,021 | 718 | 2,869 | ||
| D | 1,097 | 787 | 2,067 | ||
| D | 423 | 161 | 734 | ||
| D | 300 | 25 | 456 | ||
| D | 246 | 70 | 406 | ||
| D | 227 | 79 | 326 | ||
| D | 206 | 100 | 349 | ||
| D | 95 | 94 | 203 | ||
| D | 28 | 0 | 29 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 10 | 7 | 17 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
FL-26 stretches from the southwestern Miami-Dade exurbs through the Everglades corridor, where a heavily Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Florida 26th Congressional District has rarely exceeded ninety-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twenty points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 40% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,928 — all within the broad national range.
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Congressional District 26, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1226/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.