akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 38·Florida

Florida 38th State Senate District has voted Democratic for as long as anyone now living can remember.

A genuine toss-up corridor where presidential margins land inside two points

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
217,692
2024 ACS

Florida 38th State Senate District, Florida: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+100 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
217,6922024 5-year
Median household income
$71,7532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
26.5%2024 5-year
Black
14.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
69.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+100 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+22 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.5%
38,17148,13586,955
D
+7.3%
49,11842,35991,964
D
+29.6%
49,61826,55277,923
D
+23.7%
43,04326,47169,824
D
+16.1%
39,73528,66368,645
D
+6.3%
32,57328,70661,589
D
+6.3%
26,14423,02049,730
D
+19.5%
25,24516,67444,024
D
+3.5%
20,24118,70743,313
R
−11.0%
17,24921,53938,975
R
−18.3%
17,79625,79043,589
R
−10.5%
16,76321,13741,728
D
+17.6%
24,09116,78641,493
R
−18.1%
14,12620,39334,642
D
+11.3%
14,04610,75029,040
D
+28.0%
16,6109,33925,950
D
+15.3%
14,55710,69325,250
R
−10.7%
8,39210,40918,801
R
−13.5%
7,3959,71217,107
D
+16.5%
4,7443,2838,865
D
+32.9%
4,7782,4137,191
D
+34.6%
4,1282,0056,133
D
+46.2%
2,2268183,045
D
+31.7%
1,4177352,152
R
−21.7%
8061,2612,096
O
+6.8%
276219841
D
+15.0%
341245642
D
+35.5%
13150228
D
+59.9%
938142
D
+42.9%
7622126
D
+46.5%
7124101
D
+30.3%
6431109
D
+1.6%
302963
D
+100.0%
909
—
No data
———
D
+20.0%
325
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
4.6%
Italian
2.4%
German
1.7%
Irish
1.3%
English
1.2%
French
0.8%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.5%
2.1%
75–84
3.1%
4.2%
65–74
5.2%
6.4%
55–64
6.8%
7.1%
45–54
7.0%
7.1%
35–44
6.8%
6.9%
25–34
6.7%
4.2%
18–24
4.0%
7.5%
5–17
7.1%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,753
State Senate District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 38$71,753
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.2%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)23.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
24.7%
speak English only
Spanish66.7%
Other Indo-European7.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.0%
Other Christian
10.9%
Baptist
4.8%
Non-Christian
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida Senate District 38 has emerged as one of the state's closest competitive districts, with the 2024 presidential result settling at D+1.6 — a margin narrow enough that turnout patterns and candidate quality can independently decide outcomes.

The Democratic margin in Florida 38th State Senate District reached its widest at 100 points in 1892. The margin in 2024 was eleven points — a notable narrowing.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,753, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 217,692 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 38, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 38, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 38, Florida voted Republican by 11.5 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,955 votes cast, 38,171 went Democratic and 48,135 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 38, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 38, Florida as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 8 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 38, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 38, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 38, Florida?
State Senate District 38, Florida has a population of 217,692 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 38, Florida?
Median household income in State Senate District 38, Florida is $71,753 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State Senate District 38, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 38, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.