Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 38th State Senate District
presidential margin
2008D+13.92012D+16.12016D+24.52020D+8.02024R+10.3
full record · 20082024
R+10.3
2024
median income$86,590U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age39.3U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate12.6%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)34.4%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english75.3%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Cuban33.5%
Colombian5.0%
Venezuelan4.8%
American12.4%
Italian6.5%
German4.6%
African American6.2%
Haitian3.2%
Jamaican1.1%
Asian Indian0.6%
Chinese0.6%
Filipino0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Miami-Dade County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 38th State Senate District

Akashic
Florida 38th State Senate DistrictTrumpR+10.3
2024
2024 presidential margin for Florida 38th State Senate DistrictThe boundary of Florida 38th State Senate District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+10.3), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Florida 38th State Senate District · R+10.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican54.6%140,813
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.3%114,271
Jill SteinGreen1.1%2,826
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Florida 38th State Senate District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Miami-Dade County, FLRepublicanR+11.5
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
44.3%Harris114,271
54.6%Trump140,813
1.1%Stein2,826
−10.3%
257,910
D
53.6%Biden136,358
45.6%Trump115,956
0.8%Jorgensen1,955
+8.0%
254,269
D
60.5%Clinton134,469
36.1%Trump80,115
3.4%Johnson7,611
+24.5%
222,195
D
58.1%Obama116,059
41.9%Romney83,845
0.0%
+16.1%
199,904
D
56.6%Obama111,684
42.7%McCain84,181
0.7%Nader1,427
+13.9%
197,292
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −10.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−10.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+13.9%
2012+16.1%
2016+24.5%
2020+8.0%
2024−10.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RAlexis CalatayudState Senate · 38

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Florida Senate District 38 has emerged as one of the state's closest competitive districts, with the 2024 presidential result settling at D+1.6 — a margin narrow enough that turnout patterns and candidate quality can independently decide outcomes.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.5 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 10.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 18.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.3 points.

A population of 543,674, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,590 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 40 and State Senate District 35.

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 38th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Florida 38th State Senate District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 38th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 38th State Senate District voted Republican by 10.3 points (R+10.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 257,910 votes cast, 114,271 went Democratic and 140,813 went Republican.
When did Florida 38th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 38th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Florida 38th State Senate District?
Florida 38th State Senate District has a population of 543,674 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 38th State Senate District?
Median household income in Florida 38th State Senate District is $86,590 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 38th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 38th State Senate District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.