- Lead
- 15,713
- Total
- 78,413
- vs nation
- R+18.6
Florida 120th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,846
- Total
- 81,012
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Lead
- 1,540
- Total
- 67,497
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Lead
- 2,765
- Total
- 61,650
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Lead
- 2,813
- Total
- 62,735
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Lead
- 1,024
- Total
- 59,834
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Lead
- 447
- Total
- 50,276
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Lead
- 3,175
- Total
- 33,264
- vs nation
- D+1.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 183,2292024 5-year
- Population density
- 76 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,408 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,2082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.0 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 106, FL · twin score 91.6
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 120th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
51.8%
31,904 votes · D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 51.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
59.7%
46,839 votes · R+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 53.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
37,310votes
46.1% of the vote · R+7.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 33,367 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46,839votes
59.7% of the vote · R+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 43,156 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+0.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +0.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+18.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +11.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 120 covers the southernmost tip of Florida, encompassing Monroe County's Florida Keys, where a transient tourism economy and aging coastal demographics produce reliably wide Republican margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 44.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.
A population of 183,229, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,208 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 106 and State House District 101.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 120th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12120/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.