akashic
1876–2024
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale·Florida

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A bilingual battleground where Cuban and Venezuelan diaspora politics reshape margins

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
4,797,345
2024 ACS

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida: Tossup market. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
4,797,3452024 5-year
Median household income
$74,4492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.9%2024 5-year
Black
20.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
53.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+0.7%
1,005,136990,4022,012,260
D
+17.0%
1,258,497891,9352,162,517
D
+31.3%
1,196,437616,8541,854,633
D
+28.2%
1,069,156596,3161,673,793
D
+24.2%
1,013,378617,2131,637,657
D
+17.0%
883,259625,2361,521,133
D
+20.2%
733,114483,5761,234,686
D
+26.5%
653,585364,6861,091,424
D
+11.9%
541,420410,0431,106,682
R
−6.5%
445,401507,181957,275
R
−16.6%
426,221595,3541,021,653
R
−14.8%
365,111507,225957,272
D
+12.4%
490,617380,791884,042
R
−28.8%
256,289464,745723,365
R
−1.3%
238,836246,438574,928
D
+15.9%
286,283207,586493,869
D
+7.1%
237,897206,216444,113
R
−16.9%
126,447177,827304,274
R
−16.0%
109,817151,623261,440
D
+13.8%
70,53651,782135,536
D
+31.6%
70,16536,506106,671
D
+35.6%
62,44529,67592,120
D
+47.4%
34,99712,48347,480
D
+35.9%
23,95111,29735,248
R
−18.5%
13,59919,89134,000
D
+10.2%
4,7303,42212,797
D
+15.3%
5,6824,02910,824
D
+32.7%
2,7661,1324,998
D
+46.5%
2,1945133,618
D
+39.6%
1,5915022,752
D
+40.8%
1,5675942,386
D
+36.6%
1,5536412,492
D
+5.1%
8247371,698
D
+91.5%
8760957
No data
R
−0.3%
9289331,861
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
5.2%
Italian
3.8%
German
3.1%
Irish
2.9%
English
2.4%
Polish
1.2%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
38.6%
speak English only
Spanish50.1%
Other Indo-European9.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.6%
Other Christian
11.9%
Baptist
5.4%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Methodist
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanish-language media commands unusual influence here, and shifting preferences among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters have moved the market's suburban precincts by double digits across consecutive cycles.

The market's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-two points in 1892; the Republican margin reached twenty-nine points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 4,797,345, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,449 — situate the market close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/528/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida voted Democratic by 0.7 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,012,260 votes cast, 1,005,136 went Democratic and 990,402 went Republican.
What is Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida as a "Tossup" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida has a population of 4,797,345 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Median household income in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida is $74,449 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.