- Lead
- 4,957
- Total
- 16,164
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Turnout
- —
Panama City, FL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 3,519
- Total
- 16,238
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,178
- Total
- 16,865
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,931
- Total
- 16,273
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,675
- Total
- 16,770
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,859
- Total
- 15,214
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,9792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cleveland, TN · twin score 93.6
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −25.4% |
| 2008 | −21.9% |
| 2012 | −24.2% |
| 2016 | −24.8% |
| 2020 | −21.7% |
| 2024 | −30.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 33.7%Harris5,455 | 64.4%Trump10,412 | 1.8% | R+30.7 | R+9.0 | R+29.2 | 16,164 | |
| R | 38.2%Biden6,200 | 59.9%Trump9,719 | 2.0% | R+21.7 | D+3.1 | R+26.1 | 16,238 | |
| R | 34.9%Clinton5,879 | 59.6%Trump10,057 | 5.5% | R+24.8 | R+0.6 | R+26.9 | 16,865 | |
| R | 37.3%Obama6,076 | 61.5%Romney10,007 | 1.2% | R+24.2 | R+2.2 | R+28.0 | 16,273 | |
| R | 38.3%Obama6,422 | 60.2%McCain10,097 | 1.5% | R+21.9 | — | R+29.2 | 16,770 | |
| R | 37.2%Kerry5,664 | 62.6%Bush9,523 | 0.2% | R+25.4 | — | R+22.9 | 15,214 |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.0%4,938 | 69.0%10,981 | 15,919 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%12,436 | 12,436 |
Home to Tyndall Air Force Base, Panama City leans heavily toward Republican candidates in federal races, with the military and defense-contractor workforce anchoring a conservative voting coalition that has grown more pronounced over recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 30.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.7 points.
A population of 34,979, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,265 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleveland and Dothan.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Panama City, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1254700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.