Joplin, Missouri
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −31.0% |
| 2008 | −22.0% |
| 2012 | −28.4% |
| 2016 | −36.7% |
| 2020 | −27.0% |
| 2024 | −28.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34.9%Harris7,197 | 63.3%Trump13,068 | 1.8% | R+28.4 | R+1.4 | R+27.0 | 20,637 | |
| R | 35.2%Biden7,041 | 62.2%Trump12,439 | 2.5% | R+27.0 | D+9.7 | R+31.5 | 19,988 | |
| R | 28.5%Clinton5,454 | 65.2%Trump12,491 | 6.3% | R+36.7 | R+8.3 | R+38.8 | 19,161 | |
| R | 34.6%Obama6,193 | 63.0%Romney11,274 | 2.3% | R+28.4 | R+6.4 | R+32.3 | 17,886 | |
| R | 38.1%Obama7,839 | 60.1%McCain12,369 | 1.8% | R+22.0 | D+9.0 | R+29.3 | 20,579 | |
| R | 34.1%Kerry6,463 | 65.1%Bush12,355 | 0.8% | R+31.0 | — | R+28.6 | 18,978 |
Joplin anchors a four-state corner region with a blue-collar industrial history that has tracked rightward over recent cycles, delivering double-digit Republican margins in federal contests while its healthcare and logistics sectors diversify the workforce.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.4 points.
A population of 52,593, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,097 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleveland and Redding.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Joplin, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2937592/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.