- Lead
- 11,900
- Total
- 17,707
- vs nation
- R+65.7
Missouri 159th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,459
- Total
- 17,730
- vs nation
- R+69.1
- Lead
- 10,390
- Total
- 16,128
- vs nation
- R+66.5
- Lead
- 7,927
- Total
- 15,040
- vs nation
- R+56.6
- Lead
- 6,750
- Total
- 15,396
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Lead
- 7,037
- Total
- 14,535
- vs nation
- R+46.0
- Lead
- 5,479
- Total
- 12,466
- vs nation
- R+44.5
- Lead
- 2,862
- Total
- 10,773
- vs nation
- R+35.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,7632024 5-year
- Population density
- 51 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 766 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,9362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.4 in 1880MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 158, MO · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 159th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
58.4%
2,242 votes · D+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 58.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.2%
14,732 votes · R+67.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
5,330votes
58.3% of the vote · D+17.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 5,255 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,732votes
83.2% of the vote · R+67.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,467 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+23.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +17.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+69.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +66.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 159 recorded an R+67.2 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most reliably one-sided legislative seats. Turnout and down-ballot races here rarely diverge far from the presidential result.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.4 points in 1880 and a Republican high of 67.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.2 points.
A population of 38,763, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,936 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 158 and State House District 156.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 159th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.