HarrisDemocratic46.5%6,811TrumpRepublican52.3%7,648OtherAll other candidates1.2%175
R+5.7- Lead
- 837
- Total
- 14,634
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Palmetto Bay, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic52.8%8,060TrumpRepublican46.3%7,074OtherAll other candidates0.9%139
D+6.5- Lead
- 986
- Total
- 15,273
- vs nation
- D+2.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic54.6%7,267TrumpRepublican41.4%5,508OtherAll other candidates4.0%537
D+13.2- Lead
- 1,759
- Total
- 13,312
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.7%6,400RomneyRepublican47.9%5,928OtherAll other candidates0.4%55
D+3.8- Lead
- 472
- Total
- 12,383
- vs nation
- Even
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.6%6,611McCainRepublican46.7%5,871OtherAll other candidates0.7%94
D+5.9- Lead
- 740
- Total
- 12,576
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.6%5,415BushRepublican51.6%5,874OtherAll other candidates0.8%90
R+4.0- Lead
- 459
- Total
- 11,379
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,6392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $142,4472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 38.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 48.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+5.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pinecrest, FL · twin score 88.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −4.0% |
| 2008 | +5.9% |
| 2012 | +3.8% |
| 2016 | +13.2% |
| 2020 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | −5.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 46.5%Harris6,811 | 52.3%Trump7,648 | 1.2% | R+5.7 | R+12.2 | R+4.2 | 14,634 | |
| D | 52.8%Biden8,060 | 46.3%Trump7,074 | 0.9% | D+6.5 | R+6.8 | D+2.0 | 15,273 | |
| D | 54.6%Clinton7,267 | 41.4%Trump5,508 | 4.0% | D+13.2 | D+9.4 | D+11.1 | 13,312 | |
| D | 51.7%Obama6,400 | 47.9%Romney5,928 | 0.4% | D+3.8 | R+2.1 | ±0.0 | 12,383 | |
| D | 52.6%Obama6,611 | 46.7%McCain5,871 | 0.7% | D+5.9 | — | R+1.4 | 12,576 | |
| R | 47.6%Kerry5,415 | 51.6%Bush5,874 | 0.8% | R+4.0 | — | R+1.6 | 11,379 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 44.5%6,357 | 55.5%7,916 | 14,273 |
| 2020 | D | 50.7%7,576 | 49.3%7,369 | 14,945 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.6%6,882 | 51.5%7,448 | 14,458 |
Palmetto Bay sits at Miami-Dade's southern edge, where suburban single-family neighborhoods and a relatively affluent, professionally educated electorate have made local governance and land-use control persistent ballot priorities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.2 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 5.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 24,639, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $142,447 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pinecrest and Key Biscayne.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pinecrest
Florida
88.4twin score
% LatinoAmerican ancestry2016 margin≠ median income
Key Biscayne
Florida
86.3twin score
% Latinomedian income2016 margin≠ American ancestry
Coral Gables
Florida
84.6twin score
% Latinomedian incomeAmerican ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Palmetto Bay, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1254275/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Palmetto Bay, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Palmetto Bay, Florida voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+5.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,634 votes cast, 6,811 went Democratic and 7,648 went Republican.
When did Palmetto Bay, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Palmetto Bay, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Palmetto Bay, Florida?
Palmetto Bay, Florida has a population of 24,639 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Palmetto Bay, Florida?
Median household income in Palmetto Bay, Florida is $142,447 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Palmetto Bay, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Palmetto Bay, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.