† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSan PabloCaliforniaUnited States
Mexican39.2%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran5.6%2.0%0.7%
Guatemalan2.4%1.3%0.5%
Nicaraguan2.0%0.3%—
Peruvian1.7%——
Puerto Rican1.5%0.6%1.8%
Spaniard1.5%0.3%—
Spanish1.3%0.3%—
Filipino4.0%3.3%0.9%
Chinese3.5%3.9%1.3%
Asian Indian3.0%2.3%1.4%
Korean0.7%1.2%0.4%
Vietnamese0.6%1.7%0.6%
Japanese0.5%0.6%0.2%
Pakistani0.3%——
Afghan0.3%——
African American†8.8%4.4%9.9%
African0.5%0.3%0.5%
Nigerian0.4%—0.2%
German2.4%6.8%12.5%
English2.4%6.3%9.5%
Irish2.2%5.9%9.4%
Italian1.4%3.4%4.8%
American0.7%2.8%5.3%
French0.4%1.3%1.6%
Scottish0.4%0.9%1.3%
Polish0.4%0.9%2.2%
Aztec9.6%0.3%—
Maya6.4%——
Samoan6.4%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
San Pablo
California
United States
Median age
34.6
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
10.1%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
11.5%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
San Pablo
California
United States
Median household income
$79,478
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.6%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
16.8%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
San Pablo
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
67.4%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
51.2%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
4.2%
3.4%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.6%
3.5%
1.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
4.1%
2.1%
0.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
San Pablo
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
San Pablo, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+67.5%
2008
+74.4%
2012
+76.8%
2016
+79.5%
2020
+69.6%
2024
+51.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
73.7%Harris5,612
22.6%Trump1,720
3.7%
D+51.1
R+18.5
D+52.6
7,612
D
83.9%Biden7,652
14.2%Trump1,300
1.9%
D+69.6
R+9.9
D+65.2
9,125
D
87.6%Clinton6,007
8.1%Trump555
4.3%
D+79.5
D+2.7
D+77.4
6,858
D
87.1%Obama5,454
10.2%Romney642
2.7%
D+76.8
D+2.4
D+73.0
6,264
D
87.0%Obama5,673
12.6%McCain822
0.4%
D+74.4
D+6.9
D+67.1
6,520
D
82.9%Kerry4,763
15.4%Bush885
1.7%
D+67.5
—
D+69.9
5,748
San Pablo's electorate is shaped by one of Contra Costa County's highest shares of cost-burdened renters, producing turnout patterns that diverge sharply from wealthier neighboring cities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 18.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.1 points.
A population of 31,720, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,478 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of East Palo Alto and Westmont.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, San Pablo, California voted Democratic by 51.1 points (D+51.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,612 votes cast, 5,612 went Democratic and 1,720 went Republican.
How many people live in San Pablo, California?
San Pablo, California has a population of 31,720 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Pablo, California?
Median household income in San Pablo, California is $79,478 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Pablo, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in San Pablo, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
