Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
66.1%3,289 participants ÷ 4,978 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
43.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
63.0%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
3,289
4,978 ± 634
66.1%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
2,476
3,931 ± 506
63.0%
Audited
E/D
3,607
4,202 ± 462
85.8%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Oakhurst, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1996–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.3%
1,330 votes · R+23.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 36.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
68.6%
2,254 votes · R+38.2
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 64.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,330votes
38.3% of the vote · R+23.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,297 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
2,254votes
68.6% of the vote · R+38.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,179 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−26.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+27.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −29.2 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+39.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.5 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +35.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Oakhurst · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madera County, California, the county containing Oakhurst — Oakhurst’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Oakhurst, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Oakhurst sits at the entrance to Yosemite's southern corridor, drawing a mix of retirees and hospitality workers whose economic interests often diverge on land-use and development questions facing Madera County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.5 points.
A population of 6,091, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,056 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Bear City and Lake Arrowhead.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Oakhurst, California voted Republican by 27.5 points (R+27.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,235 votes cast, 1,129 went Democratic and 2,019 went Republican.
How many people live in Oakhurst, California?
Oakhurst, California has a population of 6,091 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oakhurst, California?
Median household income in Oakhurst, California is $82,056 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Oakhurst, California?
Akashic tracks 7 presidential elections in Oakhurst, California from 1996 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
