Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic28.3%648TrumpRepublican70.7%1,616OtherAll other candidates1.0%23
R+42.3
Lead
968
Total
2,287
vs nation
R+40.9
BidenDemocratic22.9%126TrumpRepublican75.3%414OtherAll other candidates1.8%10
R+52.4
Lead
288
Total
550
vs nation
R+56.8
ClintonDemocratic19.7%85TrumpRepublican73.6%318OtherAll other candidates6.7%29
R+53.9
Lead
233
Total
432
vs nation
R+56.0
ObamaDemocratic25.3%368RomneyRepublican73.0%1,064OtherAll other candidates1.7%25
R+47.8
Lead
696
Total
1,457
vs nation
R+51.6
ObamaDemocratic26.4%364McCainRepublican71.4%985OtherAll other candidates2.2%31
R+45.0
Lead
621
Total
1,380
vs nation
R+52.3
KerryDemocratic28.8%344BushRepublican71.0%848OtherAll other candidates0.3%3
R+42.2
Lead
504
Total
1,195
vs nation
R+39.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+42.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2502024 5-year
Population density
813 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$55,9872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+53.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
87.1%2,323 participants ÷ 2,668 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+4.1 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-13.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
83.0%–84.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
14.3%
15.4%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,323
2,668 ± 326
87.1%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
428
2,775 ± 379
15.4%
Audited
E/D
555
2,850 ± 377
19.5%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
405
2,835 ± 283
14.3%
Audited
E/A
447
2,787 ± 317
16.0%
Audited
E/D
1,457
3,083
47.3%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Lake of the Woods, AZ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
28.8%
344 votes · R+42.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 28.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
75.3%
414 votes · R+52.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 73.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
648votes
28.3% of the vote · R+42.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 368 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,616votes
70.7% of the vote · R+42.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 1,064 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−39.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+42.2 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −40.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +56.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Lake of the Woods · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Navajo County, Arizona, the county containing Lake of the Woods — Lake of the Woods’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Lake of the Woods, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Lake of the Woods sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 53.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.3 points.
A population of 3,250, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,987 describe the city.
In 2024, Lake of the Woods, Arizona voted Republican by 42.3 points (R+42.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,287 votes cast, 648 went Democratic and 1,616 went Republican.
How many people live in Lake of the Woods, Arizona?
Lake of the Woods, Arizona has a population of 3,250 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake of the Woods, Arizona?
Median household income in Lake of the Woods, Arizona is $55,987 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Lake of the Woods, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lake of the Woods, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
