combined metro areaLouisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+11.5
2008R+2.0
2012R+4.3
2016R+8.8
2020R+4.1
2024R+8.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 63.4% of 1,111,220 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
315,433
377,091
12,443
704,967
1,111,220
63.4%
2020
345,320
375,795
13,746
734,861
1,091,662
67.3%
2016
284,208
342,220
34,892
661,320
1,063,783
62.2%
2012
291,920
318,412
10,936
621,268
1,023,618
60.7%
2008
308,353
321,198
7,059
636,610
985,241
64.6%
2004
262,027
330,972
4,584
597,583
946,864†
63.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
14 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLouisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-INUnited States
German16.2%12.5%
English13.3%9.5%
Irish12.3%9.4%
American7.4%5.3%
Italian2.6%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.3%
French1.6%1.6%
Polish0.9%2.2%
African American†11.3%9.9%
African1.0%0.5%
Mexican2.7%11.3%
Cuban1.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.5%
Honduran0.2%0.3%
Asian Indian0.6%1.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.6%
Korean0.2%0.4%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Chinese0.2%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
United States
Median age
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
United States
Median household income
$74,487
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.4%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.1%
22.3%
Spanish
5.0%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
United States
Catholic
11.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
22.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
54.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+20.2%
1896
−7.4%
1900
+3.7%
1904
+7.5%
1908
+6.9%
1912
+39.0%
1916
+9.3%
1920
+0.7%
1924
−0.7%
1928
−16.1%
1932
+14.4%
1936
+25.2%
1940
+19.9%
1944
+15.2%
1948
+8.7%
1952
−4.5%
1956
−12.6%
1960
+0.2%
1964
+31.5%
1968
−1.3%
1972
−22.7%
1976
+2.1%
1980
−1.3%
1984
−18.9%
1988
−8.5%
1992
+7.8%
1996
+5.8%
2000
−7.4%
2004
−11.5%
2008
−2.0%
2012
−4.3%
2016
−8.8%
2020
−4.1%
2024
−8.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.7%Harris315,433
53.5%Trump377,091
1.8%
R+8.7
R+4.6
R+7.3
704,967
R
47.0%Biden345,320
51.1%Trump375,795
1.9%
R+4.1
D+4.6
R+8.6
734,861
R
43.0%Clinton284,208
51.7%Trump342,220
5.3%
R+8.8
R+4.5
R+10.9
661,320
R
47.0%Obama291,920
51.3%Romney318,412
1.8%
R+4.3
R+2.2
R+8.1
621,268
R
48.4%Obama308,353
50.5%McCain321,198
1.1%
R+2.0
D+9.5
R+9.3
636,610
R
43.8%Kerry262,027
55.4%Bush330,972
0.8%
R+11.5
R+4.1
R+9.1
597,583
R
45.2%Gore234,451
52.6%Bush273,011
2.2%
R+7.4
R+13.2
R+8.0
518,805
D
48.5%Clinton229,865
42.7%Dole202,355
8.8%
D+5.8
R+2.0
R+2.7
473,715
D
46.7%Clinton235,551
38.9%Bush196,369
14.3%
D+7.8
D+16.3
D+2.2
504,230
R
45.5%Dukakis196,271
54.1%Bush233,027
0.4%
R+8.5
D+10.4
R+0.8
431,084
R
40.3%Mondale183,777
59.2%Reagan270,000
0.5%
R+18.9
R+17.6
R+0.7
455,888
R
47.2%Carter197,308
48.5%Reagan202,638
4.4%
R+1.3
R+3.4
D+8.5
418,189
D
50.0%Carter196,384
47.9%Ford188,075
2.1%
D+2.1
D+24.8
D+0.1
392,818
R
37.7%McGovern133,530
60.4%Nixon214,079
2.0%
R+22.7
R+21.4
D+0.4
354,552
R
40.7%Humphrey138,789
42.0%Nixon143,122
17.3%
R+1.3
R+32.8
R+0.6
340,803
D
65.6%Johnson225,163
34.0%Goldwater116,852
0.4%
D+31.5
D+31.3
D+9.0
343,415
D
50.1%Kennedy178,532
49.9%Nixon177,830
0.1%
D+0.2
D+12.8
±0.0
356,578
R
43.5%Stevenson135,723
56.0%Eisenhower175,001
0.5%
R+12.6
R+8.1
D+2.8
312,301
R
47.5%Stevenson136,670
51.9%Eisenhower149,525
0.6%
R+4.5
R+13.2
D+6.3
287,835
D
53.4%Truman124,045
44.7%Dewey103,860
1.9%
D+8.7
R+6.5
D+4.2
232,413
D
57.4%Roosevelt134,163
42.2%Dewey98,580
0.4%
D+15.2
R+4.7
D+7.7
233,728
D
59.8%Roosevelt151,992
39.9%Willkie101,316
0.3%
D+19.9
R+5.3
D+10.0
254,102
D
61.6%Roosevelt143,500
36.4%Landon84,722
2.1%
D+25.2
D+10.8
D+1.0
233,070
D
56.7%Roosevelt135,287
42.3%Hoover100,869
1.0%
D+14.4
D+30.5
R+3.4
238,614
R
41.8%Smith106,067
57.9%Hoover146,886
0.2%
R+16.1
R+15.4
D+1.4
253,563
R
47.8%Davis95,360
48.5%Coolidge96,812
3.7%
R+0.7
R+1.5
D+24.5
199,543
D
49.9%Cox110,644
49.1%Harding109,020
1.0%
D+0.7
R+8.6
D+26.9
221,953
D
53.8%Wilson59,375
44.5%Hughes49,112
1.7%
D+9.3
R+29.7
D+6.2
110,401
D
50.4%Wilson50,602
11.3%Taft11,390
38.3%
D+39.0
D+32.1
D+19.5
100,490
D
52.3%Bryan56,486
45.4%Taft49,048
2.3%
D+6.9
R+0.6
D+16.4
108,020
D
52.1%Parker50,087
44.6%Roosevelt42,889
3.2%
D+7.5
D+3.7
D+27.2
96,081
D
51.3%Bryan51,794
47.6%McKinley48,012
1.1%
D+3.7
D+11.1
D+11.3
100,883
R
45.1%Bryan45,098
52.5%McKinley52,471
2.5%
R+7.4
R+27.5
R+1.3
100,027
D
57.7%Cleveland46,080
37.6%Harrison29,990
4.7%
D+20.2
—
D+18.5
79,837
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
205,247
2018 (partial)
193,036
2020 (partial)
203,978
2022 (partial)
209,915
2024
1,194,946
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,603 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,185 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+1,459
2012
+430
2013
+4,269
2014
−81
2015
−3,762
2016
+940
2017
+3,139
2018
+1,441
2019
+204
2021
−524
2022
+13
2023
−852
2024
+112
2025
−1,603
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 22.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.7 points.
A population of 1,499,607, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,487 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kansas City-Overland Park-Kansas City, MO-KS and Columbus-Marion-Zanesville, OH.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/350/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky voted Republican by 8.7 points (R+8.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 704,967 votes cast, 315,433 went Democratic and 377,091 went Republican.
When did Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky?
Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky has a population of 1,499,607 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky is $74,487 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Louisville/Jefferson County--Elizabethtown, KY-IN, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
